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Bahamas vs Trinidad & Tobago - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

World Championship 2026 SKNFA technical centre, Basseterre
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Shaw M.
Assist: Muckette D.
12'
Cartwright A.
14' Event
Jones A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Trinidad & Tobago in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-7 — backing the pre-match view that favored Trinidad & Tobago.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Bahamas
15%
Draws
85%
Trinidad & Tobago
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Trinidad & Tobago

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Trinidad & Tobago have won more games recently than Bahamas.
  • Model gives Trinidad & Tobago a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Trinidad & Tobago have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Bahamas Clean Sheet 10%
Trinidad & Tobago Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bahamas Trinidad & Tobago
Matches Played 29 36
Wins 3 10
Draws 3 10
Losses 23 16
Goals Scored 1 1.53
Goals Conceded 3.55 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2024 World Championship
Bahamas vs Trinidad & Tobago
1:7
Mar 24, 2023 CONCACAF Nations League
Bahamas vs Trinidad & Tobago
0:3
Jun 7, 2022 CONCACAF Nations League
Trinidad & Tobago vs Bahamas
1:0
Jun 5, 2021 World Championship
Bahamas vs Trinidad & Tobago
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bahamas Compare

Top Goalscorer Julmis P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Trinidad & Tobago Compare

Top Goalscorer Shaw M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Muckette D.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bahamas 10 / 100
Trinidad & Tobago 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bahamas Trinidad & Tobago

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Trinidad & Tobago Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trinidad & Tobago's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 36 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Trinidad & Tobago has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Bahamas scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bahamas VS Trinidad & Tobago
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
4 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bahamas

(Home)
06 Oct
Saint Martin
6 : 0
Bahamas
04 Oct
Bahamas
2 : 3
United States Virgin Islands
29 Sept
United States Virgin Islands
3 : 1
Bahamas
23 Sept
Bahamas
0 : 8
Saint Martin
30 Mar
Cayman Islands
1 : 0
Bahamas
Page 1 of 6

Trinidad & Tobago

(Away)
04 Oct
Trinidad & Tobago
1 : 1
Curacao
01 Oct
Curacao
1 : 0
Trinidad & Tobago
28 Sept
Trinidad & Tobago
1 : 2
Dominican Republic
25 Sept
Haiti
3 : 2
Trinidad & Tobago
26 Jul
Louisville City
1 : 0
Trinidad & Tobago
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Honduras 4 4 0 0 12:2 12
2 Bermuda 4 2 1 1 9:8 7
3 Cuba 4 2 0 2 6:5 6
4 Cayman Islands 4 1 0 3 1:9 3
5 Antigua and Barbuda 4 0 1 3 1:5 1
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Costa Rica 4 4 0 0 17:1 12
2 Trinidad & Tobago 4 2 1 1 16:7 7
3 Grenada 4 2 1 1 11:7 7
4 Saint Kitts and Nevis 4 1 0 3 5:13 3
5 Bahamas 4 0 0 4 1:22 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Curacao 4 4 0 0 15:2 12
2 Haiti 4 3 0 1 11:7 9
3 Saint Lucia 4 1 1 2 5:9 4
4 Aruba 4 0 2 2 3:10 2
5 Barbados 4 0 1 3 4:10 1
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panama 4 4 0 0 10:1 12
2 Nicaragua 4 3 0 1 9:4 9
3 Guyana 4 2 0 2 6:4 6
4 Montserrat 4 1 0 3 3:10 3
5 Belize 4 0 0 4 1:10 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jamaica 4 4 0 0 8:2 12
2 Guatemala 4 3 0 1 13:5 9
3 Dominican Republic 4 2 0 2 11:5 6
4 Dominica 4 1 0 3 5:14 3
5 British Virgin Islands 4 0 0 4 0:11 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Suriname 4 3 1 0 10:2 10
2 El Salvador 4 2 2 0 7:2 8
3 Puerto Rico 4 2 1 1 10:2 7
4 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines 4 1 0 3 9:9 3
5 Anguilla 4 0 0 4 0:21 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Third stage)