Sport Picks
Bahia vs Corinthians
Brazil
Serie A Betano Arena Fonte Nova 
AI Match Summary
Bahia host Corinthians in the Serie A Betano. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Corinthians have shipped 1.38 goals a game lately, while Bahia have conceded 1.5 and scored 1.38. Past meetings favor Bahia slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 28, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.31) point toward Corinthians. Corinthians in a double chance market carries the safer edge.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Corinthians carry the better recent record into this one.
- Bahia are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bahia | Corinthians |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 13 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 9 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Bahia scored in 89% of their last 28 outings.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Solid form: Bahia remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Corinthians has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 41 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31:16 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 28:23 | 31 |
| 4 | Athletico-PR | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:18 | 30 |
| 5 | Bragantino | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 25:19 | 29 |
| 6 | Bahia | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25:23 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24:24 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 23:20 | 25 |
| 9 | Atletico-MG | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22:23 | 24 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18:19 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24:28 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo RJ | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 31:31 | 22 |
| 13 | Vitoria | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21:25 | 22 |
| 14 | Internacional | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21:22 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 26:29 | 21 |
| 16 | Gremio | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20:23 | 21 |
| 17 | Vasco | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22:29 | 20 |
| 18 | Remo | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21:29 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 18:24 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 17:33 | 9 |