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Bahia de Feira vs AD Astro

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bahia de Feira in this Baiano 2 2009 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bahia de Feira.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Bahia de Feira
15%
Draws
12%
AD Astro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bahia de Feira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bahia de Feira lately — more wins on the board than AD Astro.
  • Model gives Bahia de Feira a 73% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Bahia de Feira Clean Sheet 20%
AD Astro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bahia de Feira AD Astro
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 6
Draws 10 7
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.75 0.8
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.98 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2009 Baiano 2
Bahia de Feira vs AD Astro
1:0
May 31, 2009 Baiano 2
AD Astro vs Bahia de Feira
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bahia de Feira 85 / 100
AD Astro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bahia de Feira AD Astro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bahia de Feira Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bahia de Feira's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

AD Astro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

AD Astro's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

These sides typically produce 0.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Bahia de Feira VS -
2.75 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bahia de Feira

(Home)
22 Feb
Jacuipense
3 : 1
Bahia de Feira
18 Feb
Vitoria
1 : 0
Bahia de Feira
11 Feb
Bahia de Feira
6 : 1
Barcelona FC
04 Feb
Galicia
1 : 2
Bahia de Feira
29 Jan
Bahia de Feira
1 : 2
Jequie
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AD Astro

(Away)
29 Jun
Itabuna
3 : 0
AD Astro
16 Jun
AD Astro
1 : 2
Colo Colo
08 Jun
Jequie
0 : 0
AD Astro
25 May
AD Astro
1 : 4
CE Flamengo
18 May
AD Astro
0 : 1
Itabuna
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Camacariense 6 3 2 1 11:8 11
2 Juazeirense 6 3 2 1 9:8 11
3 Galicia 6 2 3 1 8:6 9
4 Juazeiro 6 0 1 5 4:10 1
Promotion - Baiano 2 2009 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guanambi AC 6 4 1 1 9:7 13
2 Bahia de Feira 6 3 3 0 8:1 12
3 Serrano 6 1 1 4 6:9 4
4 AD Astro 6 1 1 4 2:8 4
Promotion - Baiano 2 2009 (Play Offs)