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Bahia de Feira vs Bahia

Brazil Brazil

Baiano SuperBet Arena, Feira de Santana
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
David Martins
18' Event
Rezende
21'
Lucas Santos

AI Match Summary

The Baiano game between Bahia de Feira and Bahia finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bahia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Bahia de Feira
15%
Draws
57%
Bahia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bahia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Bahia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Baiano form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Bahia de Feira Clean Sheet 16%
Bahia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bahia de Feira Bahia
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 11 14
Draws 9 9
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.83 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2026 Baiano
Bahia de Feira vs Bahia
0:3
Jan 27, 2024 Baiano
Bahia de Feira vs Bahia
0:2
Feb 9, 2023 Baiano
Bahia vs Bahia de Feira
2:1
Jan 15, 2022 Baiano
Bahia de Feira vs Bahia
2:2
May 13, 2021 Baiano
Bahia de Feira vs Bahia
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bahia de Feira Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Bahia Compare

Top Goalscorer Rezende
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dell
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bahia de Feira 31 / 100
Bahia 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bahia de Feira Bahia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bahia de Feira scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Bahia has conceded goals in 78% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Bahia de Feira went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Bahia
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bahia de Feira

(Home)
22 Feb
Jacuipense
3 : 1
Bahia de Feira
18 Feb
Vitoria
1 : 0
Bahia de Feira
11 Feb
Bahia de Feira
6 : 1
Barcelona FC
04 Feb
Galicia
1 : 2
Bahia de Feira
29 Jan
Bahia de Feira
1 : 2
Jequie
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Bahia

(Away)
20 Sept
Athletico-PR
2 : 1
Bahia
14 Sept
Bahia
2 : 1
Remo
05 Sept
Bragantino
2 : 3
Bahia
30 Aug
Bahia
3 : 2
Internacional
23 Aug
Vitoria
0 : 2
Bahia
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bahia 9 7 2 0 26:9 23
2 Vitoria 9 4 4 1 13:4 16
3 Jacuipense 9 3 4 2 11:10 13
4 Juazeirense 9 3 4 2 7:9 13
5 Jequie 9 3 3 3 15:13 12
6 Porto-BA 9 2 5 2 10:12 11
7 Barcelona FC 9 2 4 3 7:15 10
8 Galicia 9 3 0 6 7:14 9
9 Bahia de Feira 9 2 3 4 11:12 9
10 Alagoinhas 9 0 3 6 5:14 3
Promotion - Baiano (Play Offs)
Relegation - Baiano 2 2027 (Main)