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Bahia de Feira vs Leonico

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Patrick Carvalho
30' Event
Patrick Carvalho
35' Event
Junior S.

AI Match Summary

The Baiano 2 2025 game between Bahia de Feira and Leonico finished 6-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bahia de Feira.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Bahia de Feira
15%
Draws
42%
Leonico
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bahia de Feira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bahia de Feira come out ahead of Leonico on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Bahia de Feira Clean Sheet 68%
Leonico Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bahia de Feira Leonico
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 6
Draws 9 6
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.83 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.03 2.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2025 Baiano 2
Bahia de Feira vs Leonico
6:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bahia de Feira Compare

Top Goalscorer Patrick Carvalho
2 Goals
Assists Leader Junior S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Leonico Compare

Top Goalscorer Rickson
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ferreira T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bahia de Feira 41 / 100
Leonico 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bahia de Feira Leonico

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bahia de Feira Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 2:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leonico's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 8.00 goals per match.

Bahia de Feira found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Leonico lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bahia de Feira VS Leonico
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 3
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bahia de Feira

(Home)
22 Feb
Jacuipense
3 : 1
Bahia de Feira
18 Feb
Vitoria
1 : 0
Bahia de Feira
11 Feb
Bahia de Feira
6 : 1
Barcelona FC
04 Feb
Galicia
1 : 2
Bahia de Feira
29 Jan
Bahia de Feira
1 : 2
Jequie
Page 1 of 6

Leonico

(Away)
05 Jul
Grapiuna
0 : 6
Leonico
19 Jun
Leonico
5 : 2
Jacobina
12 Jun
Leonico
1 : 2
Barreiras
07 Jun
Fluminense de Feira
3 : 0
Leonico
30 May
Leonico
0 : 6
Feira FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itabuna 9 7 2 0 20:7 23
2 Bahia de Feira 9 6 2 1 28:5 20
3 Fluminense de Feira 9 6 2 1 16:5 20
4 Galicia 9 4 3 2 20:9 15
5 EC Ypiranga 9 3 4 2 11:9 13
6 Vitoria da Conquista 8 3 2 3 8:11 11
7 SSA 9 2 4 3 10:8 10
8 Leonico 8 2 1 5 12:20 7
9 Grapiuna 9 0 1 8 4:31 1
10 Teixeira de Freitas 9 0 1 8 0:24 0
Promotion - Baiano 2 2025 (Play Offs)