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Bahia U17 vs Gremio U17

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro U17
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AI Match Summary

The Brasileiro U17 game between Bahia U17 and Gremio U17 finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bahia U17.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Bahia U17
20%
Draws
0%
Gremio U17
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bahia U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gremio U17 come out ahead of Bahia U17 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Bahia U17's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Bahia U17 Clean Sheet 16%
Gremio U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bahia U17 Gremio U17
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 11
Draws 8 3
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 1.69 1.66
Goals Conceded 2.07 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 8, 2026 Brasileiro U17
Bahia U17 vs Gremio U17
4:0
Jul 29, 2025 Brasileiro U17
Gremio U17 vs Bahia U17
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bahia U17 84 / 100
Gremio U17 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bahia U17 Gremio U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bahia U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gremio U17 let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Gremio U17 lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Bahia U17 scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bahia U17 VS Gremio U17
1.88 Goals Scored 0.5
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bahia U17

(Home)
09 Sept
Bahia U17
1 : 1
Flamengo RJ U17
05 Sept
Botafogo RJ U17
0 : 4
Bahia U17
02 Sept
Bahia U17
1 : 2
Atletico-MG U17
25 Aug
Sao Paulo U17
6 : 1
Bahia U17
18 Aug
Bahia U17
3 : 3
Bragantino U17
Page 1 of 6

Gremio U17

(Away)
09 Sept
Gremio U17
1 : 2
Palmeiras U17
05 Sept
Vasco U17
4 : 0
Gremio U17
31 Aug
Gremio U17
1 : 2
Internacional U17
25 Aug
Gremio U17
0 : 1
Fortaleza U17
18 Aug
Atletico-MG U17
3 : 0
Gremio U17
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmeiras U17 16 13 1 2 47:21 40
2 Fluminense U17 16 10 3 3 33:15 33
3 Bragantino U17 16 10 2 4 47:23 32
4 Corinthians U17 16 9 3 4 42:18 30
5 Athletico-PR U17 16 8 4 4 34:28 28
6 Cruzeiro U17 16 8 4 4 25:24 28
7 Fortaleza U17 16 8 3 5 24:24 27
8 Flamengo RJ U17 16 7 6 3 33:19 27
9 Atletico-MG U17 16 7 5 4 35:21 26
10 Santos U17 16 7 3 6 23:28 24
11 Sao Paulo U17 16 5 8 3 21:16 23
12 Internacional U17 16 7 1 8 20:29 22
13 Botafogo RJ U17 16 6 4 6 31:36 22
14 Vasco U17 16 5 4 7 23:21 19
15 Bahia U17 16 4 5 7 28:28 17
16 America MG U17 16 4 4 8 26:23 16
17 EC Juventude U17 16 3 4 9 15:39 13
18 Gremio U17 16 3 1 12 14:43 10
19 Vitoria U17 16 2 1 13 12:37 7
20 Atletico GO U17 16 1 0 15 13:53 3
Promotion - Brasileiro U17 (Play Offs)