Sport Picks
Match Events
9'
9'
Wendel Passos
20'
20'
Sidney Duarte
24'
24'
Thiaguinho
AI Match Summary
Bahia U20 in this Brasileiro U20 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bahia U20.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bahia U20
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Fortaleza U20 haven't matched Bahia U20's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Bahia U20's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Brasileiro U20 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Bahia U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Fortaleza U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bahia U20 | Fortaleza U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 33 |
| Wins | 18 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 12 |
| Losses | 6 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 3.5 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 3.50 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 21, 2026 Brasileiro U20
Bahia U20 vs Fortaleza U20
3:2
Nov 6, 2025 Copa do Brasil U20
Bahia U20 vs Fortaleza U20
2:1
Oct 29, 2025 Copa do Brasil U20
Fortaleza U20 vs Bahia U20
3:1
Jun 10, 2025 Brasileiro U20
Fortaleza U20 vs Bahia U20
1:0
Jun 20, 2024 Brasileiro U20
Fortaleza U20 vs Bahia U20
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bahia U20 Compare
Top Goalscorer Wendel Passos
1 Goals Assists Leader Sidney Duarte
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.69
Avg xA / game 1.75
Fortaleza U20 Compare
Top Goalscorer Thiaguinho
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bahia U20 85 / 100
Fortaleza U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bahia U20 Fortaleza U20
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick BAH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bahia U20 scored in 87% of their last 30 games.
Recent resilience: Bahia U20 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Fortaleza U20 let in goals in 70% of their last 33 matches.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Bahia U20 VS Fortaleza U20
3.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Bahia U20
(Home) 18 Jul
Bahia U20
7 : 0 Camacariense U20
11 Jul
Camacariense U20
1 : 6 Bahia U20
04 Jul
Bahia U20
6 : 2 Jacobina U20
01 Jul
Bahia U20
3 : 1 Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20
28 Jun
Jacobina U20
0 : 3 Bahia U20
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18 Jul
Bahia U20
7 : 0 Camacariense U20
04 Jul
Bahia U20
6 : 2 Jacobina U20
01 Jul
Bahia U20
3 : 1 Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20
17 Jun
Bahia U20
1 : 1 Vasco U20
13 Jun
Bahia U20
7 : 1 Juazeirense U20
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Fortaleza U20
(Away) 18 Jul
Fortaleza U20
1 : 1 Tirol U20
15 Jul
Caucaia U20
1 : 2 Fortaleza U20
11 Jul
Tiangua EC U20
0 : 3 Fortaleza U20
08 Jul
Ceara U20
0 : 0 Fortaleza U20
04 Jul
Fortaleza U20
2 : 2 Vila Real U20
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15 Jul
Caucaia U20
1 : 2 Fortaleza U20
11 Jul
Tiangua EC U20
0 : 3 Fortaleza U20
08 Jul
Ceara U20
0 : 0 Fortaleza U20
23 Jun
Sao Paulo U20
1 : 0 Fortaleza U20
20 Jun
Gremio U20
2 : 1 Fortaleza U20
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras U20 | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 54:23 | 44 |
| 2 | Vasco U20 | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 36:19 | 36 |
| 3 | Botafogo RJ U20 | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 32:20 | 36 |
| 4 | Bragantino U20 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 49:35 | 34 |
| 5 | Athletico-PR U20 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 39:25 | 32 |
| 6 | Santos U20 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 29:24 | 31 |
| 7 | Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 35:27 | 29 |
| 8 | Corinthians U20 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 31:25 | 29 |
| 9 | Bahia U20 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 32:30 | 29 |
| 10 | Flamengo RJ U20 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 28:29 | 28 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo U20 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 27:26 | 25 |
| 12 | America MG U20 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 25:37 | 25 |
| 13 | Cuiaba U20 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 19:27 | 21 |
| 14 | Vitoria U20 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 20:31 | 20 |
| 15 | Gremio U20 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 31:42 | 19 |
| 16 | Fluminense U20 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 25:31 | 19 |
| 17 | EC Juventude U20 | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:39 | 18 |
| 18 | Criciuma U20 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 24:40 | 17 |
| 19 | Avai U20 | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 24:43 | 16 |
| 20 | Fortaleza U20 | 19 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 18:25 | 15 |
Promotion - Brasileiro U20 (Play Offs)