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Bahia U20 vs Fortaleza U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro U20
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Wendel Passos
20' Event
Sidney Duarte
24' Event
Thiaguinho

AI Match Summary

Bahia U20 in this Brasileiro U20 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bahia U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Bahia U20
15%
Draws
26%
Fortaleza U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bahia U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Fortaleza U20 haven't matched Bahia U20's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Bahia U20's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Brasileiro U20 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 49.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Bahia U20 Clean Sheet 18%
Fortaleza U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bahia U20 Fortaleza U20
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 9
Draws 6 10
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 3.23 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 3.53 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2026 Brasileiro U20
Bahia U20 vs Fortaleza U20
3:2
Nov 6, 2025 Copa do Brasil U20
Bahia U20 vs Fortaleza U20
2:1
Oct 29, 2025 Copa do Brasil U20
Fortaleza U20 vs Bahia U20
3:1
Jun 10, 2025 Brasileiro U20
Fortaleza U20 vs Bahia U20
1:0
Jun 20, 2024 Brasileiro U20
Fortaleza U20 vs Bahia U20
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bahia U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Wendel Passos
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sidney Duarte
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.72
Avg xA / game 1.76

Fortaleza U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Thiaguinho
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bahia U20 85 / 100
Fortaleza U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bahia U20 Fortaleza U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bahia U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bahia U20 scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Fortaleza U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Bahia U20 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bahia U20 VS Fortaleza U20
6.43 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
86% Over 1.5 75%
86% Over 2.5 50%
86% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bahia U20

(Home)
08 Oct
Botafogo RJ U20
1 : 0
Bahia U20
08 Sept
Bahia U20
16 : 0
Alagoinhas U20
01 Aug
Bahia U20
2 : 3
Fluminense de Feira U20
25 Jul
Fluminense de Feira U20
0 : 8
Bahia U20
18 Jul
Bahia U20
7 : 0
Camacariense U20
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Fortaleza U20

(Away)
01 Oct
Fortaleza U20
2 : 3
Ceara U20
09 Sept
Fortaleza U20
1 : 2
Piaui U20
04 Sept
Ceara U20
0 : 0
Fortaleza U20
19 Aug
Fortaleza U20
3 : 1
Quixada U20
12 Aug
Quixada U20
1 : 0
Fortaleza U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmeiras U20 19 13 5 1 54:23 44
2 Vasco U20 19 11 3 5 36:19 36
3 Botafogo RJ U20 19 11 3 5 32:20 36
4 Bragantino U20 19 10 4 5 49:35 34
5 Athletico-PR U20 19 9 5 5 39:25 32
6 Santos U20 19 9 4 6 29:24 31
7 Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 19 8 5 6 35:27 29
8 Corinthians U20 19 8 5 6 31:25 29
9 Bahia U20 19 8 5 6 32:30 29
10 Flamengo RJ U20 19 7 7 5 28:29 28
11 Sao Paulo U20 19 6 7 6 27:26 25
12 America MG U20 19 6 7 6 25:37 25
13 Cuiaba U20 19 6 3 10 19:27 21
14 Vitoria U20 19 5 5 9 20:31 20
15 Gremio U20 19 6 1 12 31:42 19
16 Fluminense U20 19 5 4 10 25:31 19
17 EC Juventude U20 19 5 3 11 20:39 18
18 Criciuma U20 19 5 2 12 24:40 17
19 Avai U20 19 3 7 9 24:43 16
20 Fortaleza U20 19 2 9 8 18:25 15
Promotion - Brasileiro U20 (Play Offs)