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Bahia U20 vs Jacobina U20

Brazil Brazil

Baiano U20 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Bahia U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Bahia U20
15%
Draws
28%
Jacobina U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bahia U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bahia U20 come out ahead of Jacobina U20 on wins alone.
  • Bahia U20 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Bahia U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Bahia U20, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Bahia U20 here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Bahia U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Jacobina U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bahia U20 Jacobina U20
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 18 9
Draws 6 3
Losses 7 18
Goals Scored 3.55 1
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.65 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Baiano U20
Bahia U20 vs Jacobina U20
6:2
Jun 28, 2026 Baiano U20
Jacobina U20 vs Bahia U20
0:3
May 21, 2026 Baiano U20
Jacobina U20 vs Bahia U20
1:0
Mar 14, 2026 Baiano U20
Bahia U20 vs Jacobina U20
6:1
Jun 3, 2017 Baiano U20
Bahia U20 vs Jacobina U20
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bahia U20 85 / 100
Jacobina U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bahia U20 Jacobina U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bahia U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bahia U20 scored in 87% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Defensive concern: Jacobina U20 conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Bahia U20 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bahia U20 VS Jacobina U20
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.67
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 33%
38% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Bahia U20

(Home)
08 Sept
Bahia U20
16 : 0
Alagoinhas U20
01 Aug
Bahia U20
2 : 3
Fluminense de Feira U20
25 Jul
Fluminense de Feira U20
0 : 8
Bahia U20
18 Jul
Bahia U20
7 : 0
Camacariense U20
11 Jul
Camacariense U20
1 : 6
Bahia U20
Page 1 of 7

Jacobina U20

(Away)
04 Jul
Bahia U20
6 : 2
Jacobina U20
28 Jun
Jacobina U20
0 : 3
Bahia U20
14 Jun
Conquista FC U20
1 : 0
Jacobina U20
10 Jun
Jacobina U20
2 : 0
Conquista FC U20
03 Jun
Jacobina U20
1 : 0
Feirense U20
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Atlantico EC U20 2
Juazeirense U20 0
Jacuipense U20 2
Teixeira de Freitas U20 3
Vitoria da Conquista U20 2
Vitoria U20 4
Jacobina U20 1
Bahia U20 7
Semi-finals
Atlantico EC U20 2
Teixeira de Freitas U20 2
Vitoria U20 3
Bahia U20 1
Final
Atlantico EC U20 4
Vitoria U20 4
Teixeira de Freitas U20 3
Bahia U20 4