Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bahia U20 vs Tiradentes-PI U20

Brazil Brazil

Copa do Brasil U20 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Pires Correia Lima J. W.
38' Event
Pires Correia Lima J. W.
45' Event
Pires Correia Lima J. W.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 8-0, with Bahia U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Bahia U20
20%
Draws
32%
Tiradentes-PI U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bahia U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bahia U20 come out ahead of Tiradentes-PI U20 on wins alone.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on Bahia U20 taking it.
  • Bahia U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Bahia U20, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Bahia U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Tiradentes-PI U20 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bahia U20 Tiradentes-PI U20
Matches Played 32 17
Wins 18 7
Draws 6 3
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 3.56 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.13 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2024 Copa do Brasil U20
Bahia U20 vs Tiradentes-PI U20
8:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bahia U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pires Correia Lima J. W.
4 Goals
Assists Leader Jota
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Tiradentes-PI U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bahia U20 95 / 100
Tiradentes-PI U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bahia U20 Tiradentes-PI U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bahia U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bahia U20 scored in 88% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 8.00 goals.

Defensive concern: Tiradentes-PI U20 conceded in 76% of 17 recent games.

Bahia U20 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bahia U20 VS Tiradentes-PI U20
2.25 Goals Scored 1.67
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.67
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Bahia U20

(Home)
08 Sept
Bahia U20
16 : 0
Alagoinhas U20
01 Aug
Bahia U20
2 : 3
Fluminense de Feira U20
25 Jul
Fluminense de Feira U20
0 : 8
Bahia U20
18 Jul
Bahia U20
7 : 0
Camacariense U20
11 Jul
Camacariense U20
1 : 6
Bahia U20
Page 1 of 7

Tiradentes-PI U20

(Away)
30 Jul
Atletico-PI U20
3 : 0
Tiradentes-PI U20
25 Jul
Picos U20
0 : 2
Tiradentes-PI U20
18 Jul
Tiradentes-PI U20
1 : 1
River-PI U20
13 Jul
AE Altos U20
1 : 5
Tiradentes-PI U20
06 Jul
Tiradentes-PI U20
1 : 1
Fluminense Piaui U20
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Goias U20 3
Vasco U20 2
Flamengo RJ U20 8
Porto Vitoria U20 1
America RN U20 0
Retro U20 2
Bahia U20 8
Tiradentes-PI U20 0
Fast Clube U20 1
SD Sparta U20 2
Tuna Luso U20 3
Rondoniense SC U20 2
Gremio U20 1
Criciuma U20 2
Sao Paulo U20 6
Londrina U20 1
Nautico FC U20 2
Madureira U20 1
Sampaio Correa U20 2
Macapa U20 3
CSA U20 3
Lagarto U20 0
Ceara U20 5
Serra Branca U20 0
Coritiba U20 2
EC Juventude U20 1
Palmeiras U20 12
Uniao ABC U20 0
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 3
Coimbra Sports U20 2
Cuiaba U20 5
Gama U20 0
1/8-finals
Goias U20 5
Flamengo RJ U20 3
Retro U20 0
Bahia U20 5
SD Sparta U20 0
Tuna Luso U20 6
Criciuma U20 1
Sao Paulo U20 7
Nautico FC U20 1
Macapa U20 2
CSA U20 0
Ceara U20 10
Coritiba U20 3
Palmeiras U20 4
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 5
Cuiaba U20 3
Quarter-finals
Goias U20 4
Bahia U20 6
Tuna Luso U20 1
Sao Paulo U20 3
Macapa U20 1
Ceara U20 5
Palmeiras U20 3
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 2
Semi-finals
Bahia U20 2
Sao Paulo U20 4
Ceara U20 1
Palmeiras U20 7
Final
Sao Paulo U20 3
Palmeiras U20 2