Sport Picks
Match Events
21'
21'
Abel Ferreira
40'
40'
Luciano Juba
42'
42'
Arias J.
Assist: Lopez J.
AI Match Summary
The Serie A Betano game between Bahia and Palmeiras finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Palmeiras.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
30%
42%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Palmeiras
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Palmeiras come out ahead of Bahia on wins alone.
- Palmeiras are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Bahia Clean Sheet 12%
Palmeiras Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bahia | Palmeiras |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 18 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 2.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 2.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 0.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 5, 2026 Serie A Betano
Bahia vs Palmeiras
1:2
Sep 28, 2025 Serie A Betano
Bahia vs Palmeiras
1:0
Apr 27, 2025 Serie A Betano
Palmeiras vs Bahia
0:1
Nov 20, 2024 Serie A Betano
Bahia vs Palmeiras
1:2
Jul 7, 2024 Serie A Betano
Palmeiras vs Bahia
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bahia Compare
Top Goalscorer David Duarte
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Palmeiras Compare
Top Goalscorer Arias J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bahia 27 / 100
Palmeiras 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bahia Palmeiras
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick PAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Bahia scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.
Palmeiras has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Bahia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Bahia VS Palmeiras
1.5 Goals Scored 2.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Bahia
(Home) 30 Jul
Fluminense
0 : 0 Bahia
26 Jul
Bahia
1 : 1 Corinthians
21 Jul
Atletico-MG
1 : 1 Bahia
17 Jul
Bahia
2 : 0 Chapecoense-SC
12 Jul
Fluminense
2 : 0 Bahia
Page 1 of 6
26 Jul
Bahia
1 : 1 Corinthians
17 Jul
Bahia
2 : 0 Chapecoense-SC
04 Jul
Bahia
4 : 1 Montevideo City
30 May
Bahia
2 : 1 Botafogo RJ
17 May
Bahia
1 : 1 Gremio
Page 1 of 4
Palmeiras
(Away) 06 Aug
Fortaleza
3 : 2 Palmeiras
02 Aug
Palmeiras
3 : 0 Fortaleza
30 Jul
Vitoria
0 : 4 Palmeiras
26 Jul
Palmeiras
1 : 2 Atletico-MG
22 Jul
Coritiba
1 : 3 Palmeiras
Page 1 of 6
06 Aug
Fortaleza
3 : 2 Palmeiras
30 Jul
Vitoria
0 : 4 Palmeiras
22 Jul
Coritiba
1 : 3 Palmeiras
24 May
Flamengo RJ
0 : 3 Palmeiras
14 May
Jacuipense
1 : 4 Palmeiras
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 38:16 | 47 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 37:18 | 39 |
| 3 | Athletico-PR | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 28:19 | 37 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 30:25 | 34 |
| 5 | Bahia | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 29:25 | 32 |
| 6 | Bragantino | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 26:20 | 31 |
| 7 | Cruzeiro | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 27:30 | 30 |
| 8 | Botafogo RJ | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 34:32 | 29 |
| 9 | Corinthians | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 22:20 | 29 |
| 10 | Atletico-MG | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 25:25 | 28 |
| 11 | Coritiba | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 25:28 | 27 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 25:23 | 26 |
| 13 | Vitoria | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 22:31 | 26 |
| 14 | Mirassol | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23:27 | 23 |
| 15 | Santos | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 29:33 | 22 |
| 16 | Internacional | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23:27 | 22 |
| 17 | Gremio | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 22:26 | 22 |
| 18 | Vasco | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 23:31 | 21 |
| 19 | Remo | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 24:34 | 21 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19:41 | 10 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)
