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Bahia W vs Lusaca W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Baiano Women 2023 Estadio Alberto Oliveira, Feira de Santana
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AI Match Summary

Bahia W in this Baiano Women 2023 matchup, with the score ending 9-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bahia W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Bahia W
15%
Draws
32%
Lusaca W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bahia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Bahia W have won more games recently than Lusaca W.
  • Model gives Bahia W a 53% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Bahia W here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Bahia W Clean Sheet 20%
Lusaca W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bahia W Lusaca W
Matches Played 43 32
Wins 30 13
Draws 7 3
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 3.58 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.77 3.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2025 Baiano Women
Bahia W vs Lusaca W
14:2
Oct 18, 2025 Baiano Women
Lusaca W vs Bahia W
0:8
Sep 16, 2023 Baiano Women
Bahia W vs Lusaca W
9:0
Sep 9, 2023 Baiano Women
Lusaca W vs Bahia W
0:4
Aug 23, 2023 Baiano Women
Bahia W vs Lusaca W
9:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bahia W 85 / 100
Lusaca W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bahia W Lusaca W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bahia W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bahia W scored in 86% of their last 43 outings.

These sides typically produce 9.20 goals when they meet.

Lusaca W has conceded goals in 63% of their last 32 outings.

Recent resilience: Bahia W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bahia W VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bahia W

(Home)
07 Oct
Bahia W
2 : 2
Jacobina W
03 Oct
Barcelona FC W
1 : 11
Bahia W
30 Sept
Bahia W
3 : 0
Porto-BA W
24 Sept
Bahia W
7 : 2
Botafogo BA W
22 Sept
Corinthians W
1 : 0
Bahia W
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Lusaca W

(Away)
25 Oct
Bahia W
14 : 2
Lusaca W
18 Oct
Lusaca W
0 : 8
Bahia W
11 Oct
Sao Francisco BA W
0 : 2
Lusaca W
04 Oct
Lusaca W
1 : 0
Juazeirense W
27 Sept
Vitoria W
4 : 0
Lusaca W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bahia W 7 7 0 0 50:3 21
2 Vitoria W 7 5 1 1 16:5 16
3 AD Astro W 7 5 0 2 15:7 15
4 Lusaca W 7 4 1 2 22:11 13
5 Jacuipense W 7 3 0 4 14:17 9
6 Alagoinhas W 7 2 0 5 8:16 6
7 Leonico W 7 1 0 6 3:26 3
8 Redencao W 7 0 0 7 1:44 0
Promotion - Baiano Women 2023 (Play Offs)