Sport Picks

Ethiopia

Premier League

Bahir Dar Kenema

0 - 2

Sheger Ketema FC

Our Tip

Match Events

23'

Fikru B.

31'

Shura B.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sheger Ketema FC in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sheger Ketema FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

Bahir Dar Kenema

33%

Draws

40%

Sheger Ketema FC

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Sheger Ketema FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Sheger Ketema FC have won more games recently than Bahir Dar Kenema.
Win probability leans Sheger Ketema FC's way, sitting at 40%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 10%

Over 3.5 Goals 0%

Over 4.5 Goals 0%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%

Bahir Dar Kenema Clean Sheet 31%

Sheger Ketema FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Bahir Dar Kenema	Sheger Ketema FC
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	6	9
Draws	18	14
Losses	6	8
Goals Scored	0.75	0.5
Goals Conceded	0.5	0.75
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.50	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2026 Premier League

Bahir Dar Kenema vs Sheger Ketema FC

Possession: 48% - 54% Cards: 3 - 1

0:2

Dec 6, 2025 Premier League

Sheger Ketema FC vs Bahir Dar Kenema

Possession: 53% - 55% Cards: 0 - 3

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bahir Dar Kenema Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58

Avg xA / game 0.38

Sheger Ketema FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Fikru B.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Shura B.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.45

Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bahir Dar Kenema 31 / 100

Sheger Ketema FC 50 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Bahir Dar Kenema Sheger Ketema FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHE Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Bahir Dar Kenema stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Bahir Dar Kenema's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Sheger Ketema FC has conceded goals in 52% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bahir Dar Kenema VS Sheger Ketema FC

0.75 Goals Scored 0.5

0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75

63% Over 1.5 38%

0% Over 2.5 13%

0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sidama Bunna	38	19	11	8	43:23	68
2	Negele Arsi Ketema FC	38	15	15	8	37:30	60
3	Mechal SC	38	14	15	9	44:31	57
4	Fasil Kenema	38	14	13	11	28:28	55
5	Ethio Electric S.C.	38	13	15	10	32:26	54
6	St. Georges	38	14	12	12	33:31	54
7	Welayta Dicha	38	11	18	9	37:31	51
8	Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)	38	13	12	13	40:39	51
9	Hawassa	38	12	14	12	37:32	50
10	Sheger Ketema FC	38	11	17	10	34:31	50
11	Bahir Dar Kenema	38	9	21	8	28:28	48
12	Hadiya Hossana	38	11	15	12	31:35	48
13	Ethiopia Nigd Bank	38	11	14	13	45:45	47
14	Ethiopian Insurance	38	10	16	12	30:31	46
15	Adama City	38	10	16	12	35:39	46
16	Welwalo Adigrat	38	10	16	12	32:36	46
17	Shire Endaselassie	38	9	15	14	24:32	42
18	Dire Dawa	38	9	15	14	27:41	42
19	Mekelle 70 Enderta FC	38	8	16	14	26:38	40
20	Arba Menche	38	7	14	17	30:46	35