Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bahir Dar Kenema vs Sidama Bunna

Ethiopia Ethiopia

Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bahir Dar Kenema play Sidama Bunna in the Premier League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Bahir Dar Kenema averaged 0.62 goals scored and 0.69 conceded. Sidama Bunna averaged 1.16 goals scored and 0.68 conceded. In past meetings, Bahir Dar Kenema won 1, Sidama Bunna won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 28, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.75 for Bahir Dar Kenema and 0.81 for Sidama Bunna. This points to a Sidama Bunna double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Bahir Dar Kenema
35%
Draws
39%
Sidama Bunna
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sidama Bunna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Bahir Dar Kenema picked up more points recently compared to Sidama Bunna.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.75 vs 0.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 54%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Bahir Dar Kenema Clean Sheet 26%
Sidama Bunna Clean Sheet 19%
First Half Goal 49%
Second Half Goal 51%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bahir Dar Kenema Sidama Bunna
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 6 15
Draws 17 10
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 0.62 1.16
Goals Conceded 0.69 0.68
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Premier League
Bahir Dar Kenema vs Sidama Bunna
0:1
Jan 31, 2026 Premier League
Sidama Bunna vs Bahir Dar Kenema
1:1
Apr 14, 2025 Premier League
Sidama Bunna vs Bahir Dar Kenema
1:0
Oct 30, 2024 Premier League
Bahir Dar Kenema vs Sidama Bunna
2:0
Jul 4, 2024 Premier League
Sidama Bunna vs Bahir Dar Kenema
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bahir Dar Kenema Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Sidama Bunna Compare

Top Goalscorer Taddese H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bahir Dar Kenema 29 / 100
Sidama Bunna 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bahir Dar Kenema Sidama Bunna

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Sidama Bunna or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +44.6%
5.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +37.5%
6.25
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Bahir Dar Kenema attacking → ← attacking Sidama Bunna

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bahir Dar Kenema scored in 41% of their last 29 games.

Sidama Bunna let in goals in 48% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Bahir Dar Kenema went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Sidama Bunna lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 55
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sidama Bunna381911843:2368
2Negele Arsi Ketema FC381515837:3060
3Mechal SC381415944:3157
4Fasil Kenema3814131128:2855
5Ethio Electric S.C.3813151032:2654
6St. Georges3814121233:3154
7Welayta Dicha381118937:3151
8Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)3813121340:3951
9Hawassa3812141237:3250
10Sheger Ketema FC3811171034:3150
11Bahir Dar Kenema38921828:2848
12Hadiya Hossana3811151231:3548
13Ethiopia Nigd Bank3811141345:4547
14Ethiopian Insurance3810161230:3146
15Adama City3810161235:3946
16Welwalo Adigrat3810161232:3646
17Shire Endaselassie389151424:3242
18Dire Dawa389151427:4142
19Mekelle 70 Enderta FC388161426:3840
20Arba Menche387141730:4635