Sport Picks
Bahir Dar Kenema vs Sidama Bunna
Ethiopia
Premier League 2025/2026 
Match Events
28'
28'
Taddese H.
AI Match Summary
Sidama Bunna in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sidama Bunna.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
35%
45%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sidama Bunna
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Sidama Bunna have won more games recently than Bahir Dar Kenema.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
Bahir Dar Kenema Clean Sheet 22%
Sidama Bunna Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bahir Dar Kenema | Sidama Bunna |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 14 |
| Draws | 18 | 8 |
| Losses | 5 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.66 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.66 | 0.73 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.69 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 28, 2026 Premier League
Bahir Dar Kenema vs Sidama Bunna
0:1
Jan 31, 2026 Premier League
Sidama Bunna vs Bahir Dar Kenema
1:1
Apr 14, 2025 Premier League
Sidama Bunna vs Bahir Dar Kenema
1:0
Oct 30, 2024 Premier League
Bahir Dar Kenema vs Sidama Bunna
2:0
Jul 4, 2024 Premier League
Sidama Bunna vs Bahir Dar Kenema
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bahir Dar Kenema Compare
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34
Sidama Bunna Compare
Top Goalscorer Taddese H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bahir Dar Kenema 32 / 100
Sidama Bunna 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bahir Dar Kenema Sidama Bunna
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sidama Bunna Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Bahir Dar Kenema stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Bahir Dar Kenema found the back of the net in 41% of recent matches (29 games).
Defensive concern: Sidama Bunna conceded in 50% of 30 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Bahir Dar Kenema VS Sidama Bunna
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Bahir Dar Kenema
(Home) 03 Jul
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
2 : 2 Bahir Dar Kenema
28 Jun
Bahir Dar Kenema
0 : 1 Sidama Bunna
21 Jun
Hawassa
0 : 0 Bahir Dar Kenema
16 Jun
Bahir Dar Kenema
0 : 2 Welayta Dicha
30 May
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
0 : 0 Bahir Dar Kenema
Page 1 of 6
28 Jun
Bahir Dar Kenema
0 : 1 Sidama Bunna
16 Jun
Bahir Dar Kenema
0 : 2 Welayta Dicha
19 May
Bahir Dar Kenema
1 : 1 Mechal SC
10 May
Bahir Dar Kenema
0 : 0 Welwalo Adigrat
01 May
Bahir Dar Kenema
1 : 1 Shire Endaselassie
Page 1 of 3
Sidama Bunna
(Away) 13 Sept
Sidama Bunna
3 : 0 Aiglons
05 Sept
Aiglons
0 : 0 Sidama Bunna
09 Jul
Sidama Bunna
0 : 2 Welwalo Adigrat
05 Jul
Sidama Bunna
0 : 1 Ethio Electric S.C.
28 Jun
Bahir Dar Kenema
0 : 1 Sidama Bunna
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Aiglons
0 : 0 Sidama Bunna
28 Jun
Bahir Dar Kenema
0 : 1 Sidama Bunna
14 Jun
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
1 : 2 Sidama Bunna
21 May
Arba Menche
0 : 3 Sidama Bunna
10 May
Sheger Ketema FC
1 : 0 Sidama Bunna
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 43:23 | 68 |
| 2 | Negele Arsi Ketema FC | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 37:30 | 60 |
| 3 | Mechal SC | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 4 | Fasil Kenema | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 28:28 | 55 |
| 5 | Ethio Electric S.C. | 38 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 32:26 | 54 |
| 6 | St. Georges | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 33:31 | 54 |
| 7 | Welayta Dicha | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 37:31 | 51 |
| 8 | Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 40:39 | 51 |
| 9 | Hawassa | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 37:32 | 50 |
| 10 | Sheger Ketema FC | 38 | 11 | 17 | 10 | 34:31 | 50 |
| 11 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 38 | 9 | 21 | 8 | 28:28 | 48 |
| 12 | Hadiya Hossana | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 31:35 | 48 |
| 13 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 45:45 | 47 |
| 14 | Ethiopian Insurance | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 30:31 | 46 |
| 15 | Adama City | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 35:39 | 46 |
| 16 | Welwalo Adigrat | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 32:36 | 46 |
| 17 | Shire Endaselassie | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 24:32 | 42 |
| 18 | Dire Dawa | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 27:41 | 42 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta FC | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 26:38 | 40 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 30:46 | 35 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
