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Bahla vs Al-Rustaq

Oman Oman

Professional League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Al Shukaili A.
24' Event
Al Hamrashdi S.
83' Event
Al Shukaili A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Bahla in this Professional League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bahla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Bahla
20%
Draws
29%
Al-Rustaq
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bahla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Al-Rustaq haven't matched Bahla's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Bahla's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Professional League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Bahla have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 59%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Bahla Clean Sheet 68%
Al-Rustaq Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bahla Al-Rustaq
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 5
Draws 5 7
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.63 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Professional League
Bahla vs Al-Rustaq
3:1
Sep 25, 2025 Professional League
Al-Rustaq vs Bahla
0:1
Apr 22, 2025 Professional League
Al-Rustaq vs Bahla
0:1
Oct 19, 2024 Professional League
Bahla vs Al-Rustaq
2:1
Mar 30, 2024 Professional League
Al-Rustaq vs Bahla
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bahla Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Shukaili A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Al-Rustaq Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Hamrashdi S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bahla 59 / 100
Al-Rustaq 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bahla Al-Rustaq

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bahla Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bahla's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Al-Rustaq let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Bahla stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bahla VS Al-Rustaq
1.75 Goals Scored 1.14
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.29
75% Over 1.5 43%
50% Over 2.5 29%
25% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Bahla

(Home)
21 Sept
Al Nasr
2 : 2
Bahla
11 Sept
Sur Club
1 : 3
Bahla
05 Sept
Saham
1 : 0
Bahla
30 Aug
Bahla
1 : 3
Al Seeb
24 Aug
Bahla
3 : 0
Dhofar
Page 1 of 6

Al-Rustaq

(Away)
23 May
Al-Rustaq
0 : 1
Oman Club
18 May
Al Khaboora
3 : 3
Al-Rustaq
12 May
Al-Rustaq
2 : 0
Ibri
04 May
Al-Shabab
1 : 0
Al-Rustaq
26 Apr
Al-Rustaq
2 : 4
Al Seeb
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Seeb 26 21 4 1 59:14 67
2 Al-Shabab 26 17 3 6 51:27 54
3 Al Nasr 26 16 5 5 35:20 53
4 Al Nahda 26 13 5 8 31:23 44
5 Bahla 26 12 4 10 39:32 40
6 Oman Club 26 11 6 9 27:28 39
7 Sohar 26 10 8 8 35:28 38
8 Sur Club 26 8 8 10 34:37 32
9 Dhofar 26 7 6 13 23:30 27
10 Al-Samail 26 6 8 12 25:39 26
11 Saham 26 7 5 14 22:44 26
12 Ibri 26 7 2 17 27:52 23
13 Al Khaboora 26 4 10 12 23:35 22
14 Al-Rustaq 26 3 6 17 24:46 15
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