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Bahrain U20 vs Nepal U20

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U20 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Bassam S.
45' Event
Al Khalaf K.
73' Event
Bassam S.

AI Match Summary

Bahrain U20 in this AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 tie, finishing 4-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Bahrain U20
20%
Draws
40%
Nepal U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Nepal U20 haven't matched Bahrain U20's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Bahrain U20 taking it.
  • Bahrain U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Bahrain U20, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Bahrain U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Nepal U20 Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bahrain U20 Nepal U20
Matches Played 28 20
Wins 10 8
Draws 5 2
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.21 1.15
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.35
Expected Goals (xG) 0.52 0.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2024 AFC Asian Cup U20
Bahrain U20 vs Nepal U20
4:0
Sep 14, 2022 AFC Asian Cup U20
Bahrain U20 vs Nepal U20
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bahrain U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bassam S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Al Khalaf K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.4
Avg xA / game 0.26

Nepal U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.47

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bahrain U20 42 / 100
Nepal U20 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bahrain U20 Nepal U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Nepal U20 conceded in 80% of 20 recent games.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Bahrain U20 scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

Bahrain U20 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bahrain U20 VS Nepal U20
0.63 Goals Scored 0.2
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.4
63% Over 1.5 20%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bahrain U20

(Home)
06 Sept
Bahrain U20
1 : 3
Afghanistan U20
03 Sept
Bahrain U20
1 : 2
Jordan U20
31 Aug
Tajikistan U20
2 : 3
Bahrain U20
24 Aug
Qatar U20
0 : 0
Bahrain U20
09 Aug
Bahrain U20
1 : 0
Syria U20
Page 1 of 6

Nepal U20

(Away)
01 Apr
Nepal U20
0 : 1
Bangladesh U20
27 Mar
Maldives U20
1 : 1
Nepal U20
25 Mar
Sri Lanka U20
0 : 1
Nepal U20
23 Mar
Bhutan U20
1 : 2
Nepal U20
27 Sept
Bahrain U20
4 : 0
Nepal U20
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Syria U20 4 4 0 0 16:1 12
2 Vietnam U20 4 3 0 1 12:2 9
3 Bangladesh U20 4 1 1 2 5:11 4
4 Guam U20 4 0 2 2 4:16 2
5 Bhutan U20 4 0 1 3 2:9 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uzbekistan U20 4 4 0 0 21:1 12
2 Cambodia U20 4 2 1 1 6:9 7
3 Bahrain U20 4 2 0 2 5:6 6
4 Nepal U20 4 1 0 3 4:15 3
5 Chinese Taipei U20 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea U20 4 4 0 0 18:2 12
2 United Arab Emirates U20 4 2 1 1 17:5 7
3 Kuwait U20 4 2 1 1 9:3 7
4 Lebanon U20 4 1 0 3 11:8 3
5 Northern Mariana Islands U20 4 0 0 4 0:37 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saudi Arabia U20 4 3 1 0 10:0 10
2 Australia U20 4 3 1 0 6:1 10
3 Afghanistan U20 4 1 1 2 1:6 4
4 Palestine U20 4 0 2 2 2:4 2
5 Macau U20 4 0 1 3 1:9 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Korea U20 4 3 1 0 7:0 10
2 Oman U20 4 2 0 2 9:4 6
3 Tajikistan U20 4 2 0 2 5:5 6
4 Malaysia U20 4 1 2 1 3:3 5
5 Sri Lanka U20 4 0 1 3 1:13 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Indonesia U20 3 2 1 0 8:2 7
2 Yemen U20 3 2 1 0 7:2 7
3 Timor-Leste U20 3 1 0 2 6:7 3
4 Maldives U20 3 0 0 3 1:11 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iran U20 3 3 0 0 17:0 9
2 India U20 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
3 Laos U20 3 1 0 2 6:10 3
4 Mongolia U20 3 0 0 3 1:18 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iraq U20 3 3 0 0 18:0 9
2 Thailand U20 3 2 0 1 18:1 6
3 Philippines U20 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
4 Brunei U20 3 0 0 3 0:32 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U20 3 2 1 0 9:1 7
2 Kyrgyzstan U20 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
3 Turkmenistan U20 3 1 0 2 4:4 3
4 Myanmar U20 3 0 0 3 1:12 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Qatar U20 3 3 0 0 8:2 9
2 Jordan U20 3 2 0 1 11:3 6
3 Hong Kong U20 3 1 0 2 2:9 3
4 Singapore U20 3 0 0 3 0:7 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams