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Bahrain U23 vs United Arab Emirates U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

WAFF Championship U23 Al-Seeb Stadium, Seeb
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Ndiaye J.
23' Event
Shareeda E.
90' Event
Al Khayyat A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Bahrain U23
30%
Draws
70%
United Arab Emirates U23
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: United Arab Emirates U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to United Arab Emirates U23 lately — more wins on the board than Bahrain U23.
  • Model gives United Arab Emirates U23 a 70% chance of winning this.
  • United Arab Emirates U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Bahrain U23, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%
Over 1.5 Goals 77.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Bahrain U23 Clean Sheet 10%
United Arab Emirates U23 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bahrain U23 United Arab Emirates U23
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 14
Draws 7 7
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 0.97 2.06
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.96
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2025 WAFF Championship U23
Bahrain U23 vs United Arab Emirates U23
2:1
Sep 9, 2024 Friendly International
United Arab Emirates U23 vs Bahrain U23
1:1
Sep 6, 2024 Friendly International
United Arab Emirates U23 vs Bahrain U23
2:0
Aug 10, 2018 Asian Games
United Arab Emirates U23 vs Bahrain U23
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bahrain U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Shareeda E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

United Arab Emirates U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ndiaye J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.09

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bahrain U23 10 / 100
United Arab Emirates U23 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bahrain U23 United Arab Emirates U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick United Arab Emirates U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

United Arab Emirates U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Bahrain U23 scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

United Arab Emirates U23's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Bahrain U23 VS United Arab Emirates U23
0.33 Goals Scored 1.25
2.67 Goals Conceded 1.38
67% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 38%
33% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bahrain U23

(Home)
11 Dec
Bahrain U23
1 : 2
Kuwait U23
08 Dec
Bahrain U23
0 : 1
Qatar U23
05 Dec
Saudi Arabia U23
5 : 0
Bahrain U23
18 Nov
Iran U23
1 : 0
Bahrain U23
15 Nov
Bahrain U23
0 : 2
Russia U21
Page 1 of 6

United Arab Emirates U23

(Away)
23 Sept
China U23
0 : 0
United Arab Emirates U23
20 Sept
North Korea U23
0 : 0
United Arab Emirates U23
16 Sept
United Arab Emirates U23
1 : 3
Iran U23
09 Jun
Thailand U23
2 : 5
United Arab Emirates U23
06 Jun
Kyrgyzstan U23
1 : 1
United Arab Emirates U23
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Oman U23 1
Saudi Arabia U23 0
Bahrain U23 2
United Arab Emirates U23 1
Jordan U23 2
Kuwait U23 0
Syria U23 3
Lebanon U23 2
Semi-finals
Oman U23 2
Bahrain U23 0
Jordan U23 1
Syria U23 0
Final
Oman U23 3
Jordan U23 1
Bahrain U23 0
Syria U23 1