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Bahrain vs Algeria - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

FIFA Arab Cup Khalifa International Stadium, Al Rayyan
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Match Events

8'
Al Khalasi A.
24' Event
Berkane R.
Assist: Atal Y.
27' Event
Abduljabbar M.
Assist: Madan A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-5. The second leg ended 1-5.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Bahrain
20%
Draws
58%
Algeria
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Algeria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Algeria carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Algeria taking it.
  • Algeria arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Algeria, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Bahrain Clean Sheet 10%
Algeria Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bahrain Algeria
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 7 17
Draws 3 8
Losses 18 5
Goals Scored 0.89 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.75 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.54 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 6, 2025 FIFA Arab Cup
Bahrain vs Algeria
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bahrain Compare

Top Goalscorer Abduljabbar M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.42
Avg xA / game 0.27

Algeria Compare

Top Goalscorer Berkane R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Boulbina A.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bahrain 10 / 100
Algeria 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bahrain Algeria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Algeria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Bahrain found the back of the net in 54% of recent matches (28 games).

Algeria has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Bahrain has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bahrain VS Algeria
0.33 Goals Scored 2
2 Goals Conceded 0.75
67% Over 1.5 63%
33% Over 2.5 50%
17% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bahrain

(Home)
30 Sept
Bahrain
2 : 5
Yemen
27 Sept
Bahrain
0 : 3
United Arab Emirates
24 Sept
Qatar
2 : 0
Bahrain
05 Jun
Georgia
2 : 0
Bahrain
09 Dec
Bahrain
3 : 1
Sudan
Page 1 of 6

Algeria

(Away)
06 Oct
Algeria
2 : 1
Niger
29 Sept
Burundi
2 : 2
Algeria
25 Sept
Algeria
3 : 1
Zambia
03 Jul
Switzerland
2 : 0
Algeria
28 Jun
Algeria
3 : 3
Austria
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palestine 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
2 Syria 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
3 Tunisia 3 1 1 1 5:3 4
4 Qatar 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
Promotion - FIFA Arab Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
2 Saudi Arabia 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
3 Oman 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
4 Comoros 3 0 0 3 3:8 0
Promotion - FIFA Arab Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jordan 3 3 0 0 8:2 9
2 United Arab Emirates 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
3 Egypt 3 0 2 1 2:5 2
4 Kuwait 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
Promotion - FIFA Arab Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeria 3 2 1 0 7:1 7
2 Iraq 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
3 Bahrain 3 1 0 2 5:8 3
4 Sudan 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
Promotion - FIFA Arab Cup (Play Offs)