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Bahrain vs Oman

Asia Asia

Arabian Gulf Cup 2024 Jaber Al Ahmad International Stadium, Kuwait
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Dahman
Assist: Al Busaidi A.
43'
Benaddi A.
46'
Al Alawi A.

AI Match Summary

Bahrain in this Arabian Gulf Cup 2024 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Bahrain
15%
Draws
46%
Oman
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Oman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Oman have won more games recently than Bahrain.
  • Model gives Oman a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Oman arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Oman, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Bahrain Clean Sheet 18%
Oman Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bahrain Oman
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 8 12
Draws 4 8
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 0.93 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 4, 2025 Arabian Gulf Cup
Bahrain vs Oman
2:1
Jan 16, 2023 Arabian Gulf Cup
Bahrain vs Oman
0:1
Dec 6, 2021 FIFA Arab Cup
Oman vs Bahrain
3:0
Nov 27, 2019 Arabian Gulf Cup
Oman vs Bahrain
0:0
Nov 19, 2018 Friendly International
Oman vs Bahrain
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bahrain Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Oman Compare

Top Goalscorer Dahman
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bahrain 23 / 100
Oman 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bahrain Oman

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oman Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oman has conceded goals in 70% of their last 27 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Bahrain scored in 57% of their last 28 games.

Solid form: Bahrain remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bahrain VS Oman
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bahrain

(Home)
05 Jun
Georgia
2 : 0
Bahrain
09 Dec
Bahrain
3 : 1
Sudan
06 Dec
Bahrain
1 : 5
Algeria
03 Dec
Iraq
2 : 1
Bahrain
26 Nov
Bahrain
1 : 0
Djibouti
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Oman

(Away)
07 Jun
Oman
4 : 1
Mozambique
05 Jun
Indonesia
3 : 0
Oman
08 Dec
Oman
2 : 1
Comoros
05 Dec
Oman
0 : 0
Morocco
02 Dec
Saudi Arabia
2 : 1
Oman
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Bahrain 1
Kuwait 0
Oman 2
Saudi Arabia 1
Final
Bahrain 2
Oman 1