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Bahrain vs Somalia

World World

Friendly International 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Al Romaihi M.
45' Event
Omar M.
80' Event
Abatari I.

AI Match Summary

Somalia in this Friendly International 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Somalia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Bahrain
28%
Draws
50%
Somalia
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Somalia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Somalia haven't matched Bahrain's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Somalia's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Bahrain Clean Sheet 23%
Somalia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bahrain Somalia
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 4
Draws 6 5
Losses 16 21
Goals Scored 0.63 0.38
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 21, 2025 Friendly International
Bahrain vs Somalia
0:1
Nov 17, 2025 Friendly International
Bahrain vs Somalia
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bahrain Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Romaihi M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Somalia Compare

Top Goalscorer Omar M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abatari I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bahrain 24 / 100
Somalia 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bahrain Somalia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Somalia has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Bahrain's goal record stands at 58% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Bahrain went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bahrain VS Somalia
0.63 Goals Scored 0.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bahrain

(Home)
05 Jun
Georgia
2 : 0
Bahrain
09 Dec
Bahrain
3 : 1
Sudan
06 Dec
Bahrain
1 : 5
Algeria
03 Dec
Iraq
2 : 1
Bahrain
26 Nov
Bahrain
1 : 0
Djibouti
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Somalia

(Away)
31 Mar
Mauritius
0 : 1
Somalia
27 Mar
Somalia
0 : 0
Mauritius
26 Nov
Oman
1 : 0
Somalia
21 Nov
Bahrain
0 : 1
Somalia
17 Nov
Bahrain
1 : 2
Somalia
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