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Bahrain vs Sudan

World World

FIFA Arab Cup Education City Stadium, Al Rayyan
Bahrain Logo

Bahrain

3 - 1
FT
Sudan Logo

Sudan

Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Ering M.
37' Event
Abduljabbar M.
Assist: Al Khalasi A.
41'
Al Shaikh J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. This leg finished 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Bahrain
15%
Draws
42%
Sudan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bahrain

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Sudan haven't matched Bahrain's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Bahrain taking it.
  • Bahrain have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Bahrain, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Bahrain Clean Sheet 68%
Sudan Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bahrain Sudan
Matches Played 26 25
Wins 7 6
Draws 3 8
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 0.88 0.72
Goals Conceded 1.58 1.08
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 9, 2025 FIFA Arab Cup
Bahrain vs Sudan
3:1
Aug 26, 2011 Friendly International
Bahrain vs Sudan
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bahrain Compare

Top Goalscorer Abduljabbar M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Humaidan M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Sudan Compare

Top Goalscorer Mozamil Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bahrain 51 / 100
Sudan 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bahrain Sudan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sudan has conceded goals in 64% of their last 25 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Sudan registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Bahrain scored in 54% of their last 26 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bahrain VS Sudan
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bahrain

(Home)
24 Sept
Qatar
2 : 0
Bahrain
05 Jun
Georgia
2 : 0
Bahrain
09 Dec
Bahrain
3 : 1
Sudan
06 Dec
Bahrain
1 : 5
Algeria
03 Dec
Iraq
2 : 1
Bahrain
Page 1 of 6

Sudan

(Away)
03 Jan
Senegal
3 : 1
Sudan
31 Dec
Sudan
0 : 2
Burkina Faso
28 Dec
Equatorial Guinea
0 : 1
Sudan
24 Dec
Algeria
3 : 0
Sudan
09 Dec
Bahrain
3 : 1
Sudan
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palestine 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
2 Syria 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
3 Tunisia 3 1 1 1 5:3 4
4 Qatar 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
Promotion - FIFA Arab Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
2 Saudi Arabia 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
3 Oman 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
4 Comoros 3 0 0 3 3:8 0
Promotion - FIFA Arab Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jordan 3 3 0 0 8:2 9
2 United Arab Emirates 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
3 Egypt 3 0 2 1 2:5 2
4 Kuwait 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
Promotion - FIFA Arab Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeria 3 2 1 0 7:1 7
2 Iraq 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
3 Bahrain 3 1 0 2 5:8 3
4 Sudan 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
Promotion - FIFA Arab Cup (Play Offs)