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Stadium Background

Bahrain vs Sudan

World World

FIFA Arab Cup Education City Stadium, Al Rayyan
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Ering M.
37' Event
Abduljabbar M.
Assist: Al Khalasi A.
41'
Al Shaikh J.

AI Match Summary

Bahrain in this FIFA Arab Cup tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Bahrain
39%
Draws
31%
Sudan
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Sudan haven't matched Bahrain's recent run of results.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Bahrain have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Bahrain, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Bahrain Clean Sheet 68%
Sudan Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bahrain Sudan
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 6 9
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 0.88 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 9, 2025 FIFA Arab Cup
Bahrain vs Sudan
3:1
Aug 26, 2011 Friendly International
Bahrain vs Sudan
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bahrain Compare

Top Goalscorer Abduljabbar M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Humaidan M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Sudan Compare

Top Goalscorer Mozamil Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bahrain 41 / 100
Sudan 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bahrain Sudan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sudan has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Sudan registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Bahrain scored in 58% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bahrain VS Sudan
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bahrain

(Home)
05 Jun
Georgia
2 : 0
Bahrain
09 Dec
Bahrain
3 : 1
Sudan
06 Dec
Bahrain
1 : 5
Algeria
03 Dec
Iraq
2 : 1
Bahrain
26 Nov
Bahrain
1 : 0
Djibouti
Page 1 of 7

Sudan

(Away)
03 Jan
Senegal
3 : 1
Sudan
31 Dec
Sudan
0 : 2
Burkina Faso
28 Dec
Equatorial Guinea
0 : 1
Sudan
24 Dec
Algeria
3 : 0
Sudan
09 Dec
Bahrain
3 : 1
Sudan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Palestine31203:25
2Syria31202:15
3Tunisia31115:34
4Qatar30121:51
Promotion - FIFA Arab Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Morocco32104:17
2Saudi Arabia32015:36
3Oman31113:34
4Comoros30033:80
Promotion - FIFA Arab Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Jordan33008:29
2United Arab Emirates31115:44
3Egypt30212:52
4Kuwait30123:71
Promotion - FIFA Arab Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Algeria32107:17
2Iraq32014:36
3Bahrain31025:83
4Sudan30121:51
Promotion - FIFA Arab Cup (Play Offs)