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Bahrain vs Yemen

Asia Asia

Arabian Gulf Cup 2024 Jaber Al Mubarak Stadium, Kuwait
Bahrain Logo

Bahrain

1 - 2
FT
Yemen Logo

Yemen

Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Al Dugin A.
20'
Al Wadaei S.
40' Event
Al Khattal A.
Own Goal
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Yemen advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Bahrain
15%
Draws
64%
Yemen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Yemen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Yemen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Yemen's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Yemen arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Yemen, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Bahrain Clean Sheet 10%
Yemen Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bahrain Yemen
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 10
Draws 4 6
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 0.9 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2026 Arabian Gulf Cup
Bahrain vs Yemen
2:5
Dec 28, 2024 Arabian Gulf Cup
Bahrain vs Yemen
1:2
Jun 6, 2024 World Championship
Bahrain vs Yemen
0:0
Nov 16, 2023 World Championship
Yemen vs Bahrain
0:2
Dec 26, 2017 Arabian Gulf Cup
Yemen vs Bahrain
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bahrain Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Romaihi M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Yemen Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Zubaidi H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bahrain 10 / 100
Yemen 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bahrain Yemen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Yemen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yemen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Bahrain scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Bahrain stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bahrain VS Yemen
0.88 Goals Scored 3.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Bahrain

(Home)
30 Sept
Bahrain
2 : 5
Yemen
27 Sept
Bahrain
0 : 3
United Arab Emirates
24 Sept
Qatar
2 : 0
Bahrain
05 Jun
Georgia
2 : 0
Bahrain
09 Dec
Bahrain
3 : 1
Sudan
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Yemen

(Away)
30 Sept
Bahrain
2 : 5
Yemen
27 Sept
Yemen
0 : 1
Qatar
24 Sept
United Arab Emirates
4 : 0
Yemen
18 Sept
Kuwait
1 : 2
Yemen
04 Jun
Lebanon
0 : 2
Yemen
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oman 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
2 Kuwait 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
3 United Arab Emirates 3 0 2 1 3:4 2
4 Qatar 3 0 2 1 3:4 2
Promotion - Arabian Gulf Cup 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bahrain 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
2 Saudi Arabia 3 2 0 1 8:6 6
3 Iraq 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
4 Yemen 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
Promotion - Arabian Gulf Cup 2024 (Play Offs)