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Bahrain W vs Iraq W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

Asian Cup Women 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Salem Alhashmi R. Y. M.
41' Event
Abdulrahman D.
71' Event
Abdulrahman D.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-0, with Bahrain W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Bahrain W
15%
Draws
73%
Iraq W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Iraq W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bahrain W come out ahead of Iraq W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Iraq W a 73% chance of winning this.
  • Bahrain W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Bahrain W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Bahrain W Clean Sheet 10%
Iraq W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bahrain W Iraq W
Matches Played 30 20
Wins 9 3
Draws 7 1
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.5 0.6
Goals Conceded 2 3.65
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2017 Asian Cup Women
Bahrain W vs Iraq W
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bahrain W Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdulrahman D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Salem Alhashmi R. Y. M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Iraq W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bahrain W 10 / 100
Iraq W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bahrain W Iraq W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iraq W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Iraq W conceded in 90% of 20 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Iraq W has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Bahrain W's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Bahrain W VS Iraq W
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
3 Goals Conceded 3.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Bahrain W

(Home)
07 Jun
Bahrain W
0 : 4
Kyrgyzstan W
04 Jun
Bahrain W
0 : 5
Kyrgyzstan W
26 Feb
Bahrain W
0 : 3
Saudi Arabia W
05 Jul
Myanmar W
6 : 0
Bahrain W
02 Jul
Turkmenistan W
2 : 2
Bahrain W
Page 1 of 6

Iraq W

(Away)
02 Dec
Iraq W
3 : 2
Saudi Arabia W
30 Nov
Jordan W
3 : 0
Iraq W
26 Nov
United Arab Emirates W
0 : 3
Iraq W
24 Nov
Iraq W
1 : 2
Saudi Arabia W
02 Jul
India W
5 : 0
Iraq W
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jordan W 5 5 0 0 37:3 15
2 Philippines W 5 3 1 1 18:6 10
3 Bahrain W 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
4 United Arab Emirates W 5 2 1 2 5:11 7
5 Tajikistan W 5 1 0 4 3:23 3
6 Iraq W 5 0 0 5 0:22 0
Promotion - Asian Cup Women 2018 (Main)
Promotion - Asian Cup Women 2018 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea W 4 3 1 0 21:1 10
2 North Korea W 4 3 1 0 18:1 10
3 Uzbekistan W 4 2 0 2 9:10 6
4 India W 4 1 0 3 3:25 3
5 Hong Kong W 4 0 0 4 1:15 0
Promotion - Asian Cup Women 2018 (Main)
Promotion - Asian Cup Women 2018 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand W 2 2 0 0 7:0 6
2 Chinese Taipei W 2 1 0 1 5:1 3
3 Guam W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Lebanon W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Palestine W 2 0 0 2 0:11 0
Promotion - Asian Cup Women 2018 (Main)
Promotion - Asian Cup Women 2018 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam W 4 4 0 0 27:1 12
2 Myanmar W 4 3 0 1 22:2 9
3 Iran W 4 2 0 2 19:8 6
4 Singapore W 4 1 0 3 1:20 3
5 Syria W 4 0 0 4 0:38 0
Promotion - Asian Cup Women 2018 (Main)
Promotion - Asian Cup Women 2018 (Main)