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Baia de Pemba vs Maxaquene

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Mocambola game between Baia de Pemba and Maxaquene finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Baia de Pemba
30%
Draws
12%
Maxaquene
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Baia de Pemba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Baia de Pemba come out ahead of Maxaquene on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Baia de Pemba's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Mocambola form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Baia de Pemba Clean Sheet 20%
Maxaquene Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baia de Pemba Maxaquene
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 5
Draws 9 11
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 0.72 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Mocambola
Baia de Pemba vs Maxaquene
0:0
Oct 7, 2019 Mocambola
Maxaquene vs Baia de Pemba
1:0
Jun 29, 2019 Mocambola
Baia de Pemba vs Maxaquene
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baia de Pemba 85 / 100
Maxaquene 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baia de Pemba Maxaquene

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Baia de Pemba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maxaquene let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Baia de Pemba stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Maxaquene registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Baia de Pemba scored in 41% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Baia de Pemba VS Maxaquene
0.38 Goals Scored 0.5
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
13% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Baia de Pemba

(Home)
13 Sept
ENH Vilankulo
2 : 0
Baia de Pemba
02 Sept
Baia de Pemba
2 : 1
Ferroviario Lichinga
25 Aug
Baia de Pemba
1 : 0
Ferroviario Nacala
22 Aug
Baia de Pemba
0 : 0
Ferroviario Nampula
19 Aug
Baia de Pemba
1 : 0
Costa do Sol
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Maxaquene

(Away)
22 Sept
UD Songo
4 : 0
Maxaquene
03 Sept
Maxaquene
1 : 2
Ferroviario Beira
29 Aug
Maxaquene
0 : 0
Sofala
25 Aug
Maxaquene
2 : 2
Ferroviario Maputo
21 Aug
Associacao Black Bulls
2 : 0
Maxaquene
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Associacao Black Bulls 19 13 5 1 28:9 44
2 Costa do Sol 18 10 4 4 24:11 34
3 Ferroviario Beira 18 9 7 2 23:12 34
4 UD Songo 18 6 10 2 20:13 28
5 Ferroviario Lichinga 17 8 4 5 16:13 28
6 Ferroviario Nampula 17 8 4 5 19:21 28
7 Ferroviario Maputo 18 6 5 7 13:11 23
8 ENH Vilankulo 17 4 8 5 19:16 20
9 Ferroviario Nacala 17 5 5 7 8:12 20
10 Baia de Pemba 17 4 7 6 9:12 19
11 Sofala 19 4 6 9 8:19 18
12 AD Pemba 17 5 2 10 9:19 17
13 Maxaquene 18 1 7 10 8:23 10
14 Chingale de Tete 18 1 6 11 4:17 9
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)