Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Baia de Pemba vs Sofala

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola
Baia de Pemba Logo

Baia de Pemba

0 - 0
FT
Sofala Logo

Sofala

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Mocambola matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Baia de Pemba
20%
Draws
23%
Sofala
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Baia de Pemba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Baia de Pemba have won more games recently than Sofala.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Baia de Pemba taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60.6%
Baia de Pemba Clean Sheet 20%
Sofala Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baia de Pemba Sofala
Matches Played 27 18
Wins 8 4
Draws 9 6
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 0.78 0.44
Goals Conceded 0.89 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2026 Mocambola
Baia de Pemba vs Sofala
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baia de Pemba 67 / 100
Sofala 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baia de Pemba Sofala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Baia de Pemba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Baia de Pemba stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Sofala lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Baia de Pemba's goal record stands at 44% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Sofala has conceded goals in 50% of their last 18 outings.

Scoring Trends

Baia de Pemba VS Sofala
0.38 Goals Scored 0.5
0.25 Goals Conceded 1
13% Over 1.5 25%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Baia de Pemba

(Home)
13 Sept
ENH Vilankulo
2 : 0
Baia de Pemba
02 Sept
Baia de Pemba
2 : 1
Ferroviario Lichinga
25 Aug
Baia de Pemba
1 : 0
Ferroviario Nacala
22 Aug
Baia de Pemba
0 : 0
Ferroviario Nampula
19 Aug
Baia de Pemba
1 : 0
Costa do Sol
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Sofala

(Away)
15 Sept
Sofala
0 : 2
Ferroviario Maputo
02 Sept
Costa do Sol
1 : 0
Sofala
29 Aug
Maxaquene
0 : 0
Sofala
23 Aug
UD Songo
1 : 0
Sofala
20 Aug
Chingale de Tete
0 : 1
Sofala
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Associacao Black Bulls 18 12 5 1 27:9 41
2 Costa do Sol 18 10 4 4 24:11 34
3 Ferroviario Beira 18 9 7 2 23:12 34
4 Ferroviario Lichinga 17 8 4 5 16:13 28
5 Ferroviario Nampula 17 8 4 5 19:21 28
6 UD Songo 17 5 10 2 16:13 25
7 Ferroviario Maputo 18 6 5 7 13:11 23
8 ENH Vilankulo 17 4 8 5 19:16 20
9 Ferroviario Nacala 17 5 5 7 8:12 20
10 Baia de Pemba 17 4 7 6 9:12 19
11 Sofala 18 4 6 8 8:18 18
12 AD Pemba 17 5 2 10 9:19 17
13 Maxaquene 17 1 7 9 8:19 10
14 Chingale de Tete 18 1 6 11 4:17 9
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)