Sport Picks
Baia de Pemba vs UD Songo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mozambique
Mocambola 
AI Match Summary
Baia de Pemba host UD Songo in the Mocambola. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Recent numbers: Baia de Pemba at 0.73 goals for, 0.81 against; UD Songo at 1.43 for, 0.83 against. Past meetings favor UD Songo slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 26, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 0.75 vs 0.50, favoring UD Songo. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- UD Songo carry the better recent record into this one.
- Baia de Pemba are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Baia de Pemba | UD Songo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 13 |
| Draws | 9 | 12 |
| Losses | 9 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 0.73 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.81 | 0.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 0.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 1.60 goals.
Baia de Pemba went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Baia de Pemba scored in 42% of their last 26 outings.
UD Songo let in goals in 50% of their last 30 matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Baia de Pemba
(Home)UD Songo
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Associacao Black Bulls | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 28:9 | 44 |
| 2 | Costa do Sol | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 26:12 | 37 |
| 3 | Ferroviario Beira | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 23:13 | 34 |
| 4 | UD Songo | 19 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 21:15 | 28 |
| 5 | Ferroviario Lichinga | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 16:13 | 28 |
| 6 | Ferroviario Nampula | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 19:21 | 28 |
| 7 | Ferroviario Maputo | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 14:11 | 26 |
| 8 | ENH Vilankulo | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 19:16 | 20 |
| 9 | Ferroviario Nacala | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 8:12 | 20 |
| 10 | Baia de Pemba | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 9:12 | 19 |
| 11 | Sofala | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 8:19 | 18 |
| 12 | AD Pemba | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 9:19 | 17 |
| 13 | Chingale de Tete | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 5:17 | 12 |
| 14 | Maxaquene | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 8:24 | 10 |
