Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Baia Mare vs Academica Recea

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 8
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 - Seria 8 game between Baia Mare and Academica Recea finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Baia Mare.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Baia Mare
15%
Draws
40%
Academica Recea
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Baia Mare

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Baia Mare come out ahead of Academica Recea on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Baia Mare's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Baia Mare Clean Sheet 16%
Academica Recea Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baia Mare Academica Recea
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 14
Draws 4 4
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.97 1.82
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 8
Baia Mare vs Academica Recea
3:1
Aug 25, 2021 Romanian Cup
Academica Recea vs Baia Mare
0:0
Oct 7, 2020 Romanian Cup
Baia Mare vs Academica Recea
0:3
Aug 9, 2020 Liga 3 - Promotion Play Offs
Academica Recea vs Baia Mare
3:1
Aug 5, 2020 Liga 3 - Promotion Play Offs
Baia Mare vs Academica Recea
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baia Mare 84 / 100
Academica Recea 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baia Mare Academica Recea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Baia Mare Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baia Mare scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Academica Recea let in goals in 63% of their last 27 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Baia Mare went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Baia Mare VS Academica Recea
2.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Baia Mare

(Home)
02 Oct
Baile Felix
0 : 4
Baia Mare
26 Sept
Baia Mare
2 : 2
Viitorul Cluj
22 Sept
Sanatatea Cluj
0 : 2
Baia Mare
19 Sept
Baia Mare
5 : 1
Unirea Dej
12 Sept
Crisul Santandrei
1 : 0
Baia Mare
Page 1 of 6

Academica Recea

(Away)
02 Oct
Academica Recea
1 : 0
Sighetu Marmatiei
26 Sept
Unirea Tasnad
1 : 2
Academica Recea
23 Sept
Academica Recea
7 : 1
Transilvania Sport Academy
18 Sept
Viitorul Cluj
6 : 2
Academica Recea
11 Sept
Academica Recea
0 : 3
Unirea Dej
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Baia Mare 7 5 1 1 18:6 16
2 SCM Zalau 7 4 1 2 12:5 13
3 Crisul Santandrei 7 4 1 2 12:10 13
4 Viitorul Cluj 7 3 3 1 16:9 12
5 Sanatatea Cluj 7 3 3 1 12:5 12
6 Baile Felix 7 3 3 1 14:10 12
7 Academica Recea 7 4 0 3 14:14 12
8 Sighetu Marmatiei 7 2 2 3 9:8 8
9 Bihorul Beius 7 2 2 3 7:9 8
10 Unirea Dej 7 1 2 4 4:11 5
11 Unirea Tasnad 7 0 3 4 2:15 3
12 Transilvania Sport Academy 7 0 1 6 6:24 1
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 8 (Relegation Group)