Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Baia Mare vs Ariesul Turda

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 8
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 - Seria 8 game between Baia Mare and Ariesul Turda finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Baia Mare.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Baia Mare
6%
Draws
4%
Ariesul Turda
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Baia Mare

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ariesul Turda haven't matched Baia Mare's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Baia Mare's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Baia Mare Clean Sheet 68%
Ariesul Turda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baia Mare Ariesul Turda
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 16 3
Draws 4 2
Losses 8 25
Goals Scored 1.75 0
Goals Conceded 0.75 3
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 13, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 8
Baia Mare vs Ariesul Turda
3:0
Sep 27, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 8
Ariesul Turda vs Baia Mare
1:2
Mar 7, 2020 Liga 3 - Seria 5
Baia Mare vs Ariesul Turda
6:0
Aug 23, 2019 Liga 3 - Seria 5
Ariesul Turda vs Baia Mare
2:1
Apr 26, 2019 Liga 3 - Seria 5
Baia Mare vs Ariesul Turda
1:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baia Mare 95 / 100
Ariesul Turda 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baia Mare Ariesul Turda

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baia Mare found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Ariesul Turda conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Away concern: Ariesul Turda has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Baia Mare VS Ariesul Turda
1.75 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Baia Mare22152546:2747
2Unirea Tasnad22144454:2346
3Sanatatea Cluj22137236:1346
4SCM Zalau22135436:1844
5Crisul Santandrei22125539:2541
6Sighetu Marmatiei22107536:2237
7Baile Felix2287732:2631
8Viitorul Cluj22561122:2621
9Unirea Dej22531425:3518
10Bihorul Beius22461222:3918
11Olimpia Satu Mare22521521:6417
12Ariesul Turda22022011:622