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Baia Mare vs Ariesul Turda

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 8 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 - Seria 8 2025/2026 game between Baia Mare and Ariesul Turda finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Baia Mare.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Baia Mare
15%
Draws
0%
Ariesul Turda
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Baia Mare

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Ariesul Turda haven't matched Baia Mare's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Baia Mare's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Baia Mare Clean Sheet 68%
Ariesul Turda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baia Mare Ariesul Turda
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 3
Draws 4 2
Losses 10 25
Goals Scored 1.86 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.21 3.2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 13, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 8
Baia Mare vs Ariesul Turda
3:0
Sep 27, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 8
Ariesul Turda vs Baia Mare
1:2
Mar 7, 2020 Liga 3 - Seria 5
Baia Mare vs Ariesul Turda
6:0
Aug 23, 2019 Liga 3 - Seria 5
Ariesul Turda vs Baia Mare
2:1
Apr 26, 2019 Liga 3 - Seria 5
Baia Mare vs Ariesul Turda
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baia Mare 95 / 100
Ariesul Turda 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baia Mare Ariesul Turda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Baia Mare Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baia Mare found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Ariesul Turda conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Away concern: Ariesul Turda has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Baia Mare VS Ariesul Turda
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Baia Mare

(Home)
12 Sept
Crisul Santandrei
1 : 0
Baia Mare
05 Sept
Baia Mare
3 : 1
Academica Recea
29 Aug
Sighetu Marmatiei
1 : 2
Baia Mare
19 Aug
Baia Mare
2 : 3
Corvinul Hunedoara
12 Aug
Baia Mare
5 : 0
CSM Satu Mare
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Ariesul Turda

(Away)
28 Mar
Ariesul Turda
0 : 3
Unirea Tasnad
21 Mar
Bihorul Beius
3 : 0
Ariesul Turda
14 Mar
Ariesul Turda
0 : 3
Sighetu Marmatiei
06 Mar
Unirea Dej
3 : 0
Ariesul Turda
28 Feb
Ariesul Turda
0 : 3
Viitorul Cluj
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Baia Mare 22 15 2 5 46:27 47
2 Unirea Tasnad 22 14 4 4 54:23 46
3 Sanatatea Cluj 22 13 7 2 36:13 46
4 SCM Zalau 22 13 5 4 36:18 44
5 Crisul Santandrei 22 12 5 5 39:25 41
6 Sighetu Marmatiei 22 10 7 5 36:22 37
7 Baile Felix 22 8 7 7 32:26 31
8 Viitorul Cluj 22 5 6 11 22:26 21
9 Unirea Dej 22 5 3 14 25:35 18
10 Bihorul Beius 22 4 6 12 22:39 18
11 Olimpia Satu Mare 22 5 2 15 21:64 17
12 Ariesul Turda 22 0 2 20 11:62 2
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 8 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)