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Stadium Background

Baia Mare vs CSM Satu Mare - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Romania Romania

Romanian Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Buziuc A.
45' Event
Stanescu R.
48' Event
Buziuc A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 5-0. This leg finished 5-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Baia Mare
35%
Draws
12%
CSM Satu Mare
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Baia Mare

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Baia Mare lately — more wins on the board than CSM Satu Mare.
  • Model gives Baia Mare a 53% chance of winning this.
  • Baia Mare have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Baia Mare, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Baia Mare Clean Sheet 68%
CSM Satu Mare Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baia Mare CSM Satu Mare
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 15 7
Draws 4 8
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 2.25 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2026 Romanian Cup
Baia Mare vs CSM Satu Mare
5:0
May 16, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 10
CSM Satu Mare vs Baia Mare
2:0
Apr 26, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 10
Baia Mare vs CSM Satu Mare
1:1
Apr 5, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 10
CSM Satu Mare vs Baia Mare
1:1
Dec 7, 2024 Liga 3 - Seria 10
CSM Satu Mare vs Baia Mare
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Baia Mare Compare

Top Goalscorer Buziuc A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Stanescu R.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

CSM Satu Mare Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baia Mare 95 / 100
CSM Satu Mare 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baia Mare CSM Satu Mare

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Baia Mare Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baia Mare's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

CSM Satu Mare has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Baia Mare has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Baia Mare VS CSM Satu Mare
2.63 Goals Scored 0.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Baia Mare

(Home)
10 Oct
Baia Mare
6 : 0
Transilvania Sport Academy
02 Oct
Baile Felix
0 : 4
Baia Mare
26 Sept
Baia Mare
2 : 2
Viitorul Cluj
22 Sept
Sanatatea Cluj
0 : 2
Baia Mare
19 Sept
Baia Mare
5 : 1
Unirea Dej
Page 1 of 6

CSM Satu Mare

(Away)
10 Oct
CS Din. Bucuresti
2 : 2
CSM Satu Mare
01 Oct
CFR Cluj
2 : 1
CSM Satu Mare
19 Sept
CSM Satu Mare
0 : 2
Afumati
12 Sept
Metaloglobus Bucharest
1 : 1
CSM Satu Mare
06 Sept
CSM Satu Mare
1 : 1
Politehnica Timisoara
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Unirea Dej 1
Viitorul Cluj 2
TBD -
SCM Zalau -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gloria Bistrita -
Petrolul Berca 5
CSO Teleajenul Valenii de Munte 2
CSO Plopeni 1
Baicoi 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Metalul Buzau -
Timisul Sag 1
Progresul Pecica 0
Unirea Santana 4
Viitorul Arad 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
CSM Resita -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Petrolul -
Progresul Mogosoaia 3
LPS HD Clinceni 0
Urban Titu 1
AS Vointa Crevedia 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Concordia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Otelul -
Chiesd 1
Sighetu Marmatiei 4
TBD -
Baia Mare -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
CSM Satu Mare -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Corvinul Hunedoara -
Selimbar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Hermannstadt -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Botosani -
Bihorul Beius 0
Baile Felix 1
Crisul Santandrei 2
Unirea Tasnad 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Bihor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Farul Constanta -
Popesti Leordeni -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
CS Din. Bucuresti -
Aerostar 3
CSM Vaslui 1
TBD -
Viitorul Onesti -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Bacau -
Hidro Mecanica Sugag 0
Metalurgistul Cugir 10
ACS Unirea DMO 0
Jiul Petrosani 4
CSM Caransebes 2
Ghiroda & Giarmata Vii 1
TBD -
Minerul Lupeni -
Agigea 2
Axiopolis Cernavoda 3
TBD -
Agricola Borcea -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Unirea Slobozia -
Dunarea Giurgiu 3
CSM Alexandria 0
TBD -
Cetatea Turnu Magurele -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Steaua Bucuresti -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Miercurea Ciuc -
Gilortul Tg. Carbunesti 1
Pausesti-Otasau 2
CSM Targu Jiu 3
Farcasesti 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ramnicu Valcea -
FC Pucioasa 1
Tricolorul Breaza 0
TBD -
Flacara Moreni -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chindia Targoviste -
Cetatea Suceava -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bradul Putna 9
Bucovina Radauti 0
ACS USV Iasi 1
Stiinta Miroslava 0
CSM Ramnicu Sarat 0
Adjud 3
TBD -
Targu Secuiesc -
Victoria Traian 0
Unirea Branistea 7
TBD -
Sporting Liesti -
Univ. Alba Iulia 3
Blaj 4
Inter Sibiu 0
ACS Medias 2
Sanatatea Cluj -
TBD -
TBD -
Unirea Alba-Iulia -
Bolintin Vale 3
Adunatii-Copaceni 2
Progresul Spartac 2
Progresul Fundulea 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Metaloglobus Bucharest -
Gloria Baneasa 1
Calarasi 3
Recolta Gheorghe Doja 0
Inainte Modelu 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Afumati -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Voluntari -
FC U Craiova 0
CSO Filiasi 5
Curtisoara 1
Academica Bals 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
CSM Slatina -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sepsi -
Politehnica Timisoara -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
CSC Dumbravita -
VSK Gyergyo 1
Odorheiu 0
TBD -
Ceahlaul -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC ASA Tg. Mures -
CSM Corona Brasov 2
ARO Campulung 1
CSM Sacele 3
Kids Tampa Brasov 2
CS Domnesti 3
Unirea Bascov 2
TBD -
Olimpic Zarnesti -
Paulesti 6
Blejoi 2
TBD -
Tunari -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stefanesti -
Quarter-finals
Viitorul Cluj 1
SCM Zalau 6
TBD -
Gloria Bistrita -
Petrolul Berca 2
Baicoi 3
TBD -
Metalul Buzau -
Timisul Sag 3
Unirea Santana 2
TBD -
CSM Resita -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Petrolul -
Progresul Mogosoaia 3
AS Vointa Crevedia 0
TBD -
Concordia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Otelul -
Sighetu Marmatiei 1
Baia Mare 3
TBD -
CSM Satu Mare -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Corvinul Hunedoara -
Selimbar -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Hermannstadt -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Botosani -
Baile Felix 0
Crisul Santandrei 1
TBD -
FC Bihor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Farul Constanta -
Popesti Leordeni -
TBD -
TBD -
CS Din. Bucuresti -
Aerostar 0
Viitorul Onesti 1
TBD -
FC Bacau -
Metalurgistul Cugir 0
Jiul Petrosani 1
CSM Caransebes 0
Minerul Lupeni 1
Axiopolis Cernavoda 1
Agricola Borcea 3
TBD -
Unirea Slobozia -
Dunarea Giurgiu 2
Cetatea Turnu Magurele 1
TBD -
Steaua Bucuresti -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Miercurea Ciuc -
Pausesti-Otasau 0
CSM Targu Jiu 2
TBD -
Ramnicu Valcea -
FC Pucioasa 0
Flacara Moreni 7
TBD -
Chindia Targoviste -
Cetatea Suceava -
TBD -
Bradul Putna 1
ACS USV Iasi 2
Adjud 2
Targu Secuiesc 1
Unirea Branistea 2
Sporting Liesti 4
Blaj 2
ACS Medias 1
Sanatatea Cluj 3
Unirea Alba-Iulia 2
Bolintin Vale 1
Progresul Spartac 3
TBD -
Metaloglobus Bucharest -
Calarasi 2
Inainte Modelu 0
TBD -
Afumati -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Voluntari -
CSO Filiasi 3
Curtisoara 4
TBD -
CSM Slatina -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sepsi -
Politehnica Timisoara -
TBD -
TBD -
CSC Dumbravita -
VSK Gyergyo 5
Ceahlaul 0
TBD -
FC ASA Tg. Mures -
CSM Corona Brasov 3
CSM Sacele 0
CS Domnesti 2
Olimpic Zarnesti 7
Paulesti 0
Tunari 3
TBD -
Stefanesti -
Semi-finals
SCM Zalau 0
Gloria Bistrita 1
Baicoi 2
Metalul Buzau 4
Timisul Sag 1
CSM Resita 3
TBD -
Petrolul -
Progresul Mogosoaia 1
Concordia 4
TBD -
Otelul -
Baia Mare 5
CSM Satu Mare 0
TBD -
Corvinul Hunedoara -
Selimbar 3
FC Hermannstadt 0
TBD -
FC Botosani -
Crisul Santandrei 0
FC Bihor 3
TBD -
Farul Constanta -
Popesti Leordeni 5
CS Din. Bucuresti 0
Viitorul Onesti 0
FC Bacau 3
Jiul Petrosani 0
Minerul Lupeni 1
Agricola Borcea 1
Unirea Slobozia 4
Dunarea Giurgiu 0
Steaua Bucuresti 3
TBD -
Miercurea Ciuc -
CSM Targu Jiu 0
Ramnicu Valcea 1
Flacara Moreni 1
Chindia Targoviste 2
Cetatea Suceava 0
ACS USV Iasi 1
Adjud 2
Sporting Liesti 4
Blaj 1
Sanatatea Cluj 0
Progresul Spartac 2
Metaloglobus Bucharest 1
Calarasi 0
Afumati 3
TBD -
Voluntari -
Curtisoara 0
CSM Slatina 3
TBD -
Sepsi -
Politehnica Timisoara 1
CSC Dumbravita 0
VSK Gyergyo 0
FC ASA Tg. Mures 2
CSM Corona Brasov 3
Olimpic Zarnesti 1
Tunari 2
Stefanesti 1
Final
Gloria Bistrita 1
Metalul Buzau 0
CSM Resita 2
Petrolul 3
Concordia 5
Otelul 1
Baia Mare 2
Corvinul Hunedoara 3
Selimbar 1
FC Botosani 3
FC Bihor 1
Farul Constanta 0
Popesti Leordeni 0
FC Bacau 3
Minerul Lupeni 1
Unirea Slobozia 0
Steaua Bucuresti 1
Miercurea Ciuc 2
Ramnicu Valcea 1
Chindia Targoviste 2
ACS USV Iasi 1
Sporting Liesti 2
Blaj 1
Progresul Spartac 3
Afumati 0
Voluntari 1
CSM Slatina 0
Sepsi 2
Politehnica Timisoara 2
FC ASA Tg. Mures 1
CSM Corona Brasov 3
Tunari 2