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Baka City vs Bangwe All Stars

Malawi Malawi

Super League 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Mwakyombe G.
60' Event
Mwakitalu A.

AI Match Summary

Baka City in this Super League 2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Baka City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Baka City
20%
Draws
30%
Bangwe All Stars
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Baka City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bangwe All Stars lately — more wins on the board than Baka City.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Baka City taking it.
  • Regular Super League 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Baka City Clean Sheet 68%
Bangwe All Stars Clean Sheet 21%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baka City Bangwe All Stars
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 2 6
Draws 7 9
Losses 21 15
Goals Scored 0.57 0.57
Goals Conceded 2.47 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2024 Super League
Bangwe All Stars vs Baka City
3:0
Jun 29, 2024 Super League
Baka City vs Bangwe All Stars
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Baka City Compare

Top Goalscorer Mwakyombe G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mwakitalu A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Bangwe All Stars Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baka City 59 / 100
Bangwe All Stars 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baka City Bangwe All Stars

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Baka City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bangwe All Stars's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Baka City went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Bangwe All Stars's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Baka City VS Bangwe All Stars
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 25%
75% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Baka City

(Home)
07 Dec
Baka City
1 : 3
Chitipa United
27 Nov
Silver Strikers
2 : 0
Baka City
20 Nov
Baka City
1 : 1
Dedza Dynamos
16 Nov
Baka City
2 : 2
Mighty Tigers
06 Nov
Baka City
2 : 1
FOMO FC
Page 1 of 6

Bangwe All Stars

(Away)
11 Dec
Mighty Wanderers FC
5 : 0
Bangwe All Stars
07 Dec
Bangwe All Stars
1 : 4
Creck Sporting
01 Dec
Karonga United
2 : 0
Bangwe All Stars
20 Nov
Mighty Wanderers FC
1 : 0
Bangwe All Stars
16 Nov
Bangwe All Stars
1 : 0
Civo Utd
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Silver Strikers 30 19 10 1 58:17 67
2 Mighty Wanderers FC 30 17 7 6 57:19 58
3 Big Bullets 30 14 13 3 42:20 55
4 Mzuzu City 30 13 9 8 31:32 48
5 Civo Utd 30 11 10 9 35:27 43
6 Creck Sporting 30 10 12 8 44:33 42
7 Karonga United 30 11 9 10 30:30 42
8 Moyale Barracks 30 9 12 9 30:27 39
9 MAFCO 30 9 12 9 30:39 39
10 Kamuzu Barracks 30 8 13 9 30:29 37
11 Dedza Dynamos 30 7 15 8 32:31 36
12 Mighty Tigers 30 8 11 11 26:38 35
13 Chitipa United 30 7 8 15 35:46 29
14 FOMO FC 30 8 5 17 20:38 29
15 Bangwe All Stars 30 6 9 15 17:34 27
16 Baka City 30 2 7 21 17:74 13
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