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Baka City vs Creck Sporting

Malawi Malawi

Super League 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Mwakyombe G.
68' Event
Babakina I.

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2024 game between Baka City and Creck Sporting finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Baka City
35%
Draws
32%
Creck Sporting
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Creck Sporting come out ahead of Baka City on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Baka City Clean Sheet 20%
Creck Sporting Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baka City Creck Sporting
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 2 13
Draws 7 11
Losses 21 12
Goals Scored 0.57 1.17
Goals Conceded 2.47 0.92
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 10, 2024 Super League
Creck Sporting vs Baka City
8:0
May 25, 2024 Super League
Baka City vs Creck Sporting
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Baka City Compare

Top Goalscorer Mwakyombe G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Creck Sporting Compare

Top Goalscorer Babakina I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baka City 32 / 100
Creck Sporting 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baka City Creck Sporting

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Creck Sporting Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Creck Sporting's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 36 matches.

Recent resilience: Baka City stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Baka City found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Creck Sporting
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Baka City

(Home)
07 Dec
Baka City
1 : 3
Chitipa United
27 Nov
Silver Strikers
2 : 0
Baka City
20 Nov
Baka City
1 : 1
Dedza Dynamos
16 Nov
Baka City
2 : 2
Mighty Tigers
06 Nov
Baka City
2 : 1
FOMO FC
Page 1 of 6

Creck Sporting

(Away)
06 Sept
Chitipa United
0 : 0
Creck Sporting
22 Aug
Creck Sporting
3 : 2
Ekhaya
16 Aug
Dedza Dynamos
1 : 1
Creck Sporting
08 Aug
Creck Sporting
0 : 1
Silver Strikers
26 Jul
Karonga United
2 : 1
Creck Sporting
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Silver Strikers 30 19 10 1 58:17 67
2 Mighty Wanderers FC 30 17 7 6 57:19 58
3 Big Bullets 30 14 13 3 42:20 55
4 Mzuzu City 30 13 9 8 31:32 48
5 Civo Utd 30 11 10 9 35:27 43
6 Creck Sporting 30 10 12 8 44:33 42
7 Karonga United 30 11 9 10 30:30 42
8 Moyale Barracks 30 9 12 9 30:27 39
9 MAFCO 30 9 12 9 30:39 39
10 Kamuzu Barracks 30 8 13 9 30:29 37
11 Dedza Dynamos 30 7 15 8 32:31 36
12 Mighty Tigers 30 8 11 11 26:38 35
13 Chitipa United 30 7 8 15 35:46 29
14 FOMO FC 30 8 5 17 20:38 29
15 Bangwe All Stars 30 6 9 15 17:34 27
16 Baka City 30 2 7 21 17:74 13
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)