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Baka City vs Dedza Dynamos

Malawi Malawi

Super League 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Kamwendo P.
88' Event
Mwangonde D.

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2024 game between Baka City and Dedza Dynamos finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Baka City
35%
Draws
40%
Dedza Dynamos
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Dedza Dynamos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Baka City haven't matched Dedza Dynamos's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Dedza Dynamos's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Super League 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Baka City Clean Sheet 21%
Dedza Dynamos Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baka City Dedza Dynamos
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 2 9
Draws 7 9
Losses 21 13
Goals Scored 0.57 0.94
Goals Conceded 2.47 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 20, 2024 Super League
Baka City vs Dedza Dynamos
1:1
Jul 25, 2024 Super League
Dedza Dynamos vs Baka City
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Baka City Compare

Top Goalscorer Mwangonde D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Dedza Dynamos Compare

Top Goalscorer Kamwendo P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baka City 16 / 100
Dedza Dynamos 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baka City Dedza Dynamos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dedza Dynamos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Dedza Dynamos conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Baka City stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Baka City's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Dedza Dynamos
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Baka City

(Home)
07 Dec
Baka City
1 : 3
Chitipa United
27 Nov
Silver Strikers
2 : 0
Baka City
20 Nov
Baka City
1 : 1
Dedza Dynamos
16 Nov
Baka City
2 : 2
Mighty Tigers
06 Nov
Baka City
2 : 1
FOMO FC
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Dedza Dynamos

(Away)
08 Aug
Ekhaya
1 : 1
Dedza Dynamos
25 Jul
Dedza Dynamos
1 : 0
Big Bullets
19 Jul
Dedza Dynamos
1 : 2
Chitipa United
04 Jul
Karonga United
1 : 3
Dedza Dynamos
28 Jun
Dedza Dynamos
1 : 1
Mighty Wanderers FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Silver Strikers 30 19 10 1 58:17 67
2 Mighty Wanderers FC 30 17 7 6 57:19 58
3 Big Bullets 30 14 13 3 42:20 55
4 Mzuzu City 30 13 9 8 31:32 48
5 Civo Utd 30 11 10 9 35:27 43
6 Creck Sporting 30 10 12 8 44:33 42
7 Karonga United 30 11 9 10 30:30 42
8 Moyale Barracks 30 9 12 9 30:27 39
9 MAFCO 30 9 12 9 30:39 39
10 Kamuzu Barracks 30 8 13 9 30:29 37
11 Dedza Dynamos 30 7 15 8 32:31 36
12 Mighty Tigers 30 8 11 11 26:38 35
13 Chitipa United 30 7 8 15 35:46 29
14 FOMO FC 30 8 5 17 20:38 29
15 Bangwe All Stars 30 6 9 15 17:34 27
16 Baka City 30 2 7 21 17:74 13
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)