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Baka City vs Mighty Tigers

Malawi Malawi

Super League 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Mwale T.
(Penalty)
52' Event
Phiri E.
62' Event
Nyondo K.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2024 game between Baka City and Mighty Tigers finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Baka City
30%
Draws
12%
Mighty Tigers
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Baka City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / High Confidence
  • Baka City haven't matched Mighty Tigers's recent run of results.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Baka City taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Baka City Clean Sheet 68%
Mighty Tigers Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baka City Mighty Tigers
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 2 7
Draws 7 10
Losses 21 15
Goals Scored 0 0.5
Goals Conceded 0 1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 16, 2024 Super League
Baka City vs Mighty Tigers
2:2
May 16, 2024 Super League
Mighty Tigers vs Baka City
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Baka City Compare

Top Goalscorer Phiri E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Mighty Tigers Compare

Top Goalscorer Chipungu P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baka City 59 / 100
Mighty Tigers 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baka City Mighty Tigers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Mighty Tigers let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

Baka City has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Mighty Tigers's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Mighty Tigers
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Baka City

(Home)
07 Dec
Baka City
1 : 3
Chitipa United
27 Nov
Silver Strikers
2 : 0
Baka City
20 Nov
Baka City
1 : 1
Dedza Dynamos
16 Nov
Baka City
2 : 2
Mighty Tigers
06 Nov
Baka City
2 : 1
FOMO FC
Page 1 of 6

Mighty Tigers

(Away)
31 Jan
Mighty Tigers
0 : 2
Big Bullets
27 Dec
Mighty Tigers
0 : 2
Ekhaya
24 Dec
Blue Eagles
1 : 0
Mighty Tigers
20 Dec
Mighty Tigers
0 : 0
Big Bullets
03 Dec
Chitipa United
3 : 2
Mighty Tigers
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Silver Strikers 30 19 10 1 58:17 67
2 Mighty Wanderers FC 30 17 7 6 57:19 58
3 Big Bullets 30 14 13 3 42:20 55
4 Mzuzu City 30 13 9 8 31:32 48
5 Civo Utd 30 11 10 9 35:27 43
6 Creck Sporting 30 10 12 8 44:33 42
7 Karonga United 30 11 9 10 30:30 42
8 Moyale Barracks 30 9 12 9 30:27 39
9 MAFCO 30 9 12 9 30:39 39
10 Kamuzu Barracks 30 8 13 9 30:29 37
11 Dedza Dynamos 30 7 15 8 32:31 36
12 Mighty Tigers 30 8 11 11 26:38 35
13 Chitipa United 30 7 8 15 35:46 29
14 FOMO FC 30 8 5 17 20:38 29
15 Bangwe All Stars 30 6 9 15 17:34 27
16 Baka City 30 2 7 21 17:74 13
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)