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Bakaridjan vs Derby Academie

Mali Mali

Premiere Division
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Derby Academie in this Premiere Division matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Derby Academie.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Bakaridjan
22%
Draws
18%
Derby Academie
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Bakaridjan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bakaridjan lately — more wins on the board than Derby Academie.
  • Model gives Bakaridjan a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premiere Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Bakaridjan Clean Sheet 68%
Derby Academie Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bakaridjan Derby Academie
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 8 5
Draws 10 14
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 0.75 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2026 Premiere Division
Bakaridjan vs Derby Academie
0:1
Dec 6, 2025 Premiere Division
Derby Academie vs Bakaridjan
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bakaridjan 68 / 100
Derby Academie 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bakaridjan Derby Academie

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Derby Academie let in goals in 62% of their last 26 matches.

Bakaridjan went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Derby Academie lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Bakaridjan's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Bakaridjan VS Derby Academie
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Djoliba26185341:1259
2Stade Malien26148428:1550
3Real Bamako26147532:1449
4Diarra26135832:2444
5Binga26127728:1543
6USFAS Bamako26126837:2742
7Korofina26961128:3133
8Bougouba26871121:3431
9Derby Academie26514719:2229
10Bakaridjan26691120:2727
11Foot Elite26761323:3827
12Onze Createurs26681216:2426
13Mali Coura26481420:3120
14US Bougouni26441812:4316