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Bakaridjan vs Derby Academie

Mali Mali

Premiere Division
Bakaridjan Logo

Bakaridjan

0 - 1
FT
Derby Academie Logo

Derby Academie

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Derby Academie in this Premiere Division matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Derby Academie.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Bakaridjan
30%
Draws
31%
Derby Academie
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bakaridjan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bakaridjan lately — more wins on the board than Derby Academie.
  • Model gives Bakaridjan a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premiere Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Bakaridjan Clean Sheet 68%
Derby Academie Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bakaridjan Derby Academie
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 8 5
Draws 10 14
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 0.83 0.73
Goals Conceded 1 0.85
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2026 Premiere Division
Bakaridjan vs Derby Academie
0:1
Dec 6, 2025 Premiere Division
Derby Academie vs Bakaridjan
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bakaridjan 68 / 100
Derby Academie 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bakaridjan Derby Academie

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bakaridjan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Derby Academie let in goals in 62% of their last 26 matches.

Bakaridjan went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Derby Academie lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Bakaridjan's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Bakaridjan VS Derby Academie
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bakaridjan

(Home)
14 Jun
Bakaridjan
4 : 1
US Bougouni
10 Jun
Onze Createurs
0 : 0
Bakaridjan
04 Jun
Bakaridjan
0 : 2
Stade Malien
31 May
Bougouba
1 : 1
Bakaridjan
25 May
Bakaridjan
0 : 3
Djoliba
Page 1 of 6

Derby Academie

(Away)
14 Jun
Foot Elite
2 : 1
Derby Academie
10 Jun
Derby Academie
2 : 2
Mali Coura
04 Jun
Korofina
2 : 0
Derby Academie
31 May
Derby Academie
2 : 1
US Bougouni
25 May
Real Bamako
1 : 0
Derby Academie
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Djoliba 26 18 5 3 41:12 59
2 Stade Malien 26 14 8 4 28:15 50
3 Real Bamako 26 14 7 5 32:14 49
4 Diarra 26 13 5 8 32:24 44
5 Binga 26 12 7 7 28:15 43
6 USFAS Bamako 26 12 6 8 37:27 42
7 Korofina 26 9 6 11 28:31 33
8 Bougouba 26 8 7 11 21:34 31
9 Derby Academie 26 5 14 7 19:22 29
10 Bakaridjan 26 6 9 11 20:27 27
11 Foot Elite 26 7 6 13 23:38 27
12 Onze Createurs 26 6 8 12 16:24 26
13 Mali Coura 26 4 8 14 20:31 20
14 US Bougouni 26 4 4 18 12:43 16
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)