Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bakhmaro Chokhatauri vs Shturmi

Georgia Georgia

Georgian Cup 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Butskhrikidze L.
8' Event
Ozbetelashvili L.
16' Event
Ozbetelashvili L.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-4, with Shturmi advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Bakhmaro Chokhatauri
6%
Draws
90%
Shturmi
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Shturmi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Shturmi come out ahead of Bakhmaro Chokhatauri on wins alone.
  • Shturmi are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Shturmi arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Shturmi, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Shturmi here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Bakhmaro Chokhatauri Clean Sheet 20%
Shturmi Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bakhmaro Chokhatauri Shturmi
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 2 15
Draws 4 11
Losses 24 5
Goals Scored 0 1.13
Goals Conceded 0 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 28, 2025 Liga 3
Bakhmaro Chokhatauri vs Shturmi
0:2
Jun 24, 2025 Liga 3
Shturmi vs Bakhmaro Chokhatauri
5:0
Jun 20, 2025 Georgian Cup
Bakhmaro Chokhatauri vs Shturmi
0:4
Sep 7, 2023 Liga 3
Bakhmaro Chokhatauri vs Shturmi
2:3
Apr 13, 2023 Liga 3
Shturmi vs Bakhmaro Chokhatauri
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bakhmaro Chokhatauri Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Shturmi Compare

Top Goalscorer Butskhrikidze L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ozbetelashvili L.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bakhmaro Chokhatauri 10 / 100
Shturmi 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bakhmaro Chokhatauri Shturmi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Bakhmaro Chokhatauri scored in 37% of their last 30 outings.

Shturmi has conceded goals in 45% of their last 31 outings.

Shturmi lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Shturmi
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bakhmaro Chokhatauri

(Home)
05 Dec
WIT Georgia
5 : 0
Bakhmaro Chokhatauri
28 Nov
Bakhmaro Chokhatauri
0 : 2
Shturmi
21 Nov
Dusheti
4 : 1
Bakhmaro Chokhatauri
13 Nov
Bakhmaro Chokhatauri
2 : 4
Margveti 2006
06 Nov
Didube
5 : 0
Bakhmaro Chokhatauri
Page 1 of 6

Shturmi

(Away)
26 Jun
West Georgia
0 : 2
Shturmi
22 Jun
Kolkheti 1913
0 : 0
Shturmi
17 Jun
FC Gareji Sagarejo
0 : 0
Shturmi
13 Jun
Shturmi
0 : 2
Telavi
30 May
Odishi 1919
2 : 1
Shturmi
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Meshakhte Tkibuli-
TBD-
TBD-
Gagra-
UG-353
Skuri Tsalenjikha1
TBD-
Merani Martvili-
Iberia 1999-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Torpedo Kutaisi-
Algeti Marneuli3
Orbi0
Bakhmaro Chokhatauri0
Shturmi4
Locomotive Tbilisi-
TBD-
TBD-
Dinamo Tbilisi 2-
Margveti 20060
FC Tbilisi 20253
TBD-
Bolnisi-
Gagra 22
WIT Georgia 20
TBD-
Dinamo Batumi-
Gonio-
TBD-
TBD-
Samgurali-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Dila Gori-
Spaeri-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FC Gareji Sagarejo-
TBD-
TBD-
Kolkheti 1913-
Didube2
WIT Georgia3
TBD-
Iberia 1999 2-
FC Rustavi-
TBD-
TBD-
Telavi-
Samtskhe2
Betlemi Keda1
FC Rustavi 20
Odishi 19191
Samtredia-
TBD-
TBD-
Dinamo Tbilisi-
1/16-finals
Meshakhte Tkibuli2
Gagra1
UG-352
Merani Martvili8
Iberia 1999-
TBD-
TBD-
Torpedo Kutaisi-
Algeti Marneuli0
Shturmi8
Locomotive Tbilisi3
Dinamo Tbilisi 20
FC Tbilisi 20252
Bolnisi3
Gagra 20
Dinamo Batumi5
Gonio0
Samgurali1
TBD-
Dila Gori-
Spaeri-
TBD-
FC Gareji Sagarejo1
Kolkheti 19132
WIT Georgia1
Iberia 1999 22
FC Rustavi1
Telavi0
Samtskhe0
Odishi 19191
Samtredia1
Dinamo Tbilisi0
1/8-finals
Meshakhte Tkibuli3
Merani Martvili1
Iberia 19992
Torpedo Kutaisi1
Shturmi1
Locomotive Tbilisi2
Bolnisi2
Dinamo Batumi3
Samgurali0
Dila Gori1
Spaeri4
Kolkheti 19132
Iberia 1999 22
FC Rustavi3
Odishi 19190
Samtredia3
Quarter-finals
Meshakhte Tkibuli0
Iberia 19993
Locomotive Tbilisi0
Dinamo Batumi3
Dila Gori2
Spaeri1
FC Rustavi1
Samtredia2
Semi-finals
Iberia 19995
Dinamo Batumi1
Dila Gori2
Samtredia0
Final
Iberia 19991
Dila Gori3