Sport Picks

Azerbaijan

I Liqa

Baku Sporting

2 - 1

Sahdag Qusar

Our Tip

Match Events

Stevanovic L.

14'

Mursalov A.

23'

Voronsov R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The I Liqa game between Baku Sporting and Sahdag Qusar finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Baku Sporting.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Baku Sporting

30%

Draws

34%

Sahdag Qusar

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Baku Sporting

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Baku Sporting come out ahead of Sahdag Qusar on wins alone.
Win probability leans Baku Sporting's way, sitting at 36%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
History favors Baku Sporting here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 35%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%

Baku Sporting Clean Sheet 20%

Sahdag Qusar Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Baku Sporting	Sahdag Qusar
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	14	13
Draws	11	7
Losses	5	10
Goals Scored	1.38	1
Goals Conceded	1	0.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 I Liqa

Sahdag Qusar vs Baku Sporting

Possession: 46% - 46% Cards: 4 - 2

1:1

Dec 10, 2025 I Liqa

Baku Sporting vs Sahdag Qusar

Possession: 52% - 45% Cards: 2 - 2

2:1

Sep 18, 2025 I Liqa

Sahdag Qusar vs Baku Sporting

Possession: 41% - 43% Cards: 2 - 1

2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Baku Sporting Compare

Top Goalscorer Stevanovic L.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Mammadli K.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sahdag Qusar Compare

Top Goalscorer Voronsov R.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baku Sporting 36 / 100

Sahdag Qusar 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Baku Sporting Sahdag Qusar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.

Baku Sporting's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Sahdag Qusar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Baku Sporting stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Baku Sporting VS Sahdag Qusar

1.38 Goals Scored 1

1 Goals Conceded 0.5

63% Over 1.5 38%

38% Over 2.5 25%

38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Safa Baku	27	16	9	2	52:21	57
2	Mingachevir	27	15	6	6	55:27	51
3	Sabail	27	14	8	5	46:21	50
4	Baku Sporting	27	13	10	4	40:23	49
5	Sahdag Qusar	27	12	7	8	36:27	43
6	MOIK Baku	27	9	6	12	33:40	33
7	Zaqatala PFK	27	8	4	15	27:44	28
8	Cebrayil	27	7	3	17	40:56	24
9	Shimal	27	5	5	17	23:61	20
10	Difai Agsu	27	4	6	17	28:60	18