Sport Picks

Azerbaijan

I Liqa

Baku Sporting

3 - 0

Zaqatala PFK

Our Tip

Match Events

63'

Mukhtarly C.

68'

Muradov I.

77'

Bashirov K.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Baku Sporting in this I Liqa matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Baku Sporting.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Baku Sporting

Draws

Zaqatala PFK

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Baku Sporting

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Baku Sporting have won more games recently than Zaqatala PFK.
90% — that's where the model lands on Baku Sporting taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%

Baku Sporting Clean Sheet 20%

Zaqatala PFK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Baku Sporting	Zaqatala PFK
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	14	8
Draws	11	4
Losses	5	18
Goals Scored	1.38	1
Goals Conceded	1	2.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 I Liqa

Baku Sporting vs Zaqatala PFK

Possession: 47% - 53% Cards: 3 - 2

3:0

Dec 24, 2025 I Liqa

Baku Sporting vs Zaqatala PFK

Possession: 45% - 40% Cards: 0 - 3

2:1

Oct 2, 2025 I Liqa

Zaqatala PFK vs Baku Sporting

Possession: 52% - 58% Cards: 2 - 4

1:1

Apr 10, 2025 I Liqa

Zaqatala PFK vs Baku Sporting

Possession: 53% - 46% Cards: 3 - 0

6:1

Feb 7, 2025 I Liqa

Baku Sporting vs Zaqatala PFK

Possession: 48% - 52% Cards: 2 - 3

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Baku Sporting Compare

Top Goalscorer Mukhtarly C.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Muradov I.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Zaqatala PFK Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baku Sporting 85 / 100

Zaqatala PFK 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Baku Sporting Zaqatala PFK

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAK Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baku Sporting scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Zaqatala PFK's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Baku Sporting has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Baku Sporting VS Zaqatala PFK

1.38 Goals Scored 1

1 Goals Conceded 2.25

63% Over 1.5 50%

38% Over 2.5 50%

38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Safa Baku	27	16	9	2	52:21	57
2	Mingachevir	27	15	6	6	55:27	51
3	Sabail	27	14	8	5	46:21	50
4	Baku Sporting	27	13	10	4	40:23	49
5	Sahdag Qusar	27	12	7	8	36:27	43
6	MOIK Baku	27	9	6	12	33:40	33
7	Zaqatala PFK	27	8	4	15	27:44	28
8	Cebrayil	27	7	3	17	40:56	24
9	Shimal	27	5	5	17	23:61	20
10	Difai Agsu	27	4	6	17	28:60	18