Sport Picks
Bala Azul vs Alcantarilla - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2024/2025 
Match Events
27'
27'
Fimbres V.
78'
78'
Garcia L.
78'
78'
Garcia L.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
35%
42%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Alcantarilla
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Bala Azul have won more games recently than Alcantarilla.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Bala Azul Clean Sheet 22%
Alcantarilla Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bala Azul | Alcantarilla |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 8 |
| Draws | 12 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.26 | 0.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.16 | 1.62 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.98 | 1.04 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 27, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Bala Azul vs Alcantarilla
0:1
Mar 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Bala Azul vs Alcantarilla
1:1
Oct 19, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Alcantarilla vs Bala Azul
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bala Azul Compare
Top Goalscorer Lloret F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.49
Alcantarilla Compare
Top Goalscorer Fimbres V.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bala Azul 32 / 100
Alcantarilla 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bala Azul Alcantarilla
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Alcantarilla Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Bala Azul scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.
Alcantarilla has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Bala Azul stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Bala Azul VS Alcantarilla
1.63 Goals Scored 0.83
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.33
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Bala Azul
(Home) 04 Oct
Cotillas CD
2 : 1 Bala Azul
27 Sept
Bala Azul
0 : 1 Alcantarilla
20 Sept
Aguilas FC B
0 : 0 Bala Azul
12 Sept
Bala Azul
1 : 0 Mazarron FC
06 Sept
Club Olimpico de Totana
2 : 2 Bala Azul
Page 1 of 7
27 Sept
Bala Azul
0 : 1 Alcantarilla
12 Sept
Bala Azul
1 : 0 Mazarron FC
09 May
Bala Azul
2 : 4 Caravaca
26 Apr
Bala Azul
3 : 4 Muleno CF
19 Apr
Bala Azul
0 : 0 Club Olimpico de Totana
Page 1 of 3
Alcantarilla
(Away) 04 Oct
Alcantarilla
1 : 1 Santa Cruz
27 Sept
Bala Azul
0 : 1 Alcantarilla
20 Sept
Alcantarilla
2 : 0 Cotillas CD
12 Sept
Alcantarilla
0 : 0 CA Pulpileno
06 Sept
Aguilas FC B
1 : 1 Alcantarilla
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Bala Azul
0 : 1 Alcantarilla
06 Sept
Aguilas FC B
1 : 1 Alcantarilla
11 May
CA Pulpileno
4 : 0 Alcantarilla
27 Apr
Lorca Deportiva
3 : 0 Alcantarilla
13 Apr
UCAM Murcia B
0 : 0 Alcantarilla
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lorca Deportiva | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 62:22 | 78 |
| 2 | Ciudad Cieza | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 73:26 | 70 |
| 3 | Molinense | 34 | 18 | 13 | 3 | 54:24 | 67 |
| 4 | Santomera | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 66:42 | 62 |
| 5 | Aguilas FC B | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 52:23 | 62 |
| 6 | CA Pulpileno | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 35:23 | 55 |
| 7 | UCAM Murcia B | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45:35 | 51 |
| 8 | Real Murcia B | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 44:31 | 49 |
| 9 | E.G. El Palmar | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 48:45 | 46 |
| 10 | Bala Azul | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 34:27 | 44 |
| 11 | Caravaca | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 35:41 | 43 |
| 12 | Deportivo Maritimo | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 38:57 | 37 |
| 13 | Muleno CF | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 29:49 | 37 |
| 14 | FC Cartagena SAD B | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 27:43 | 36 |
| 15 | Minerva | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 33:45 | 34 |
| 16 | Bullense | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 29:58 | 30 |
| 17 | Alcantarilla | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 21:65 | 28 |
| 18 | Plus Ultra | 34 | 2 | 3 | 29 | 23:92 | 9 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
