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Bala Azul vs Muleno CF - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Blaya A.
22' Event
Serrano A.
43' Event
Ali M.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 game between Bala Azul and Muleno CF finished 3-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Muleno CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Bala Azul
35%
Draws
35%
Muleno CF
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Muleno CF haven't matched Bala Azul's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Bala Azul a 30% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 39.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Bala Azul Clean Sheet 16%
Muleno CF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bala Azul Muleno CF
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 5
Draws 11 12
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.28 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.46
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Bala Azul vs Muleno CF
3:4
Dec 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Muleno CF vs Bala Azul
2:1
Feb 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Muleno CF vs Bala Azul
1:4
Sep 29, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Bala Azul vs Muleno CF
0:0
Feb 18, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Bala Azul vs Muleno CF
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bala Azul Compare

Top Goalscorer Acosta Garrido I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ali M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86

Muleno CF Compare

Top Goalscorer Blaya A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Serrano A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.81

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bala Azul 48 / 100
Muleno CF 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bala Azul Muleno CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bala Azul Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Muleno CF conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Attacking prowess: Bala Azul scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Bala Azul has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bala Azul VS Muleno CF
1.75 Goals Scored 1.29
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.71
75% Over 1.5 71%
63% Over 2.5 29%
50% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Bala Azul

(Home)
04 Oct
Cotillas CD
2 : 1
Bala Azul
27 Sept
Bala Azul
0 : 1
Alcantarilla
20 Sept
Aguilas FC B
0 : 0
Bala Azul
12 Sept
Bala Azul
1 : 0
Mazarron FC
06 Sept
Club Olimpico de Totana
2 : 2
Bala Azul
Page 1 of 6

Muleno CF

(Away)
10 May
Muleno CF
1 : 6
Ciudad Cieza
03 May
UCAM Murcia B
1 : 1
Muleno CF
26 Apr
Bala Azul
3 : 4
Muleno CF
19 Apr
Muleno CF
1 : 1
Mazarron FC
12 Apr
Club Olimpico de Totana
1 : 1
Muleno CF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad Cieza 34 21 10 3 65:21 73
2 Real Murcia B 34 17 8 9 59:44 59
3 Molinense 34 17 8 9 46:34 59
4 Club Olimpico de Totana 34 15 13 6 44:27 58
5 Mazarron FC 34 14 14 6 50:33 56
6 UCAM Murcia B 34 13 16 5 55:37 55
7 Aguilas FC B 34 14 10 10 47:42 52
8 CA Pulpileno 34 13 11 10 30:29 50
9 Santa Cruz 34 14 6 14 35:37 48
10 Minerva 34 11 11 12 28:39 44
11 Bala Azul 34 8 16 10 39:36 40
12 FC Cartagena SAD B 34 9 11 14 40:39 38
13 Deportivo Maritimo 34 9 9 16 38:46 36
14 E.G. El Palmar 34 8 8 18 27:48 32
15 Santomera 34 8 8 18 38:64 32
16 Caravaca 34 6 13 15 33:44 31
17 Muleno CF 34 6 13 15 33:58 31
18 Yeclano B 34 6 9 19 25:54 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 (Play Offs)