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Bala Azul vs Santa Cruz

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Khaloua H.
75'
Bertomeu F.
75'
Bertomeu F.

AI Match Summary

Santa Cruz in this Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Santa Cruz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Bala Azul
35%
Draws
40%
Santa Cruz
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Santa Cruz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Santa Cruz lately — more wins on the board than Bala Azul.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Bala Azul Clean Sheet 68%
Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bala Azul Santa Cruz
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 8 10
Draws 13 7
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.28 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Bala Azul vs Santa Cruz
0:1
Sep 13, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Santa Cruz vs Bala Azul
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bala Azul Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Santa Cruz Compare

Top Goalscorer Khaloua H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bala Azul 42 / 100
Santa Cruz 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bala Azul Santa Cruz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bala Azul found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Santa Cruz let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Solid form: Bala Azul remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Bala Azul VS Santa Cruz
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bala Azul

(Home)
20 Sept
Aguilas FC B
0 : 0
Bala Azul
12 Sept
Bala Azul
1 : 0
Mazarron FC
06 Sept
Club Olimpico de Totana
2 : 2
Bala Azul
09 May
Bala Azul
2 : 4
Caravaca
02 May
Ciudad Cieza
3 : 1
Bala Azul
Page 1 of 6

Santa Cruz

(Away)
26 Sept
Santa Cruz
1 : 1
Aguilas FC B
20 Sept
Mazarron FC
2 : 2
Santa Cruz
12 Sept
Santa Cruz
2 : 1
Club Olimpico de Totana
06 Sept
San Javier
3 : 2
Santa Cruz
10 May
FC Cartagena SAD B
0 : 1
Santa Cruz
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad Cieza 34 21 10 3 65:21 73
2 Real Murcia B 34 17 8 9 59:44 59
3 Molinense 34 17 8 9 46:34 59
4 Club Olimpico de Totana 34 15 13 6 44:27 58
5 Mazarron FC 34 14 14 6 50:33 56
6 UCAM Murcia B 34 13 16 5 55:37 55
7 Aguilas FC B 34 14 10 10 47:42 52
8 CA Pulpileno 34 13 11 10 30:29 50
9 Santa Cruz 34 14 6 14 35:37 48
10 Minerva 34 11 11 12 28:39 44
11 Bala Azul 34 8 16 10 39:36 40
12 FC Cartagena SAD B 34 9 11 14 40:39 38
13 Deportivo Maritimo 34 9 9 16 38:46 36
14 E.G. El Palmar 34 8 8 18 27:48 32
15 Santomera 34 8 8 18 38:64 32
16 Caravaca 34 6 13 15 33:44 31
17 Muleno CF 34 6 13 15 33:58 31
18 Yeclano B 34 6 9 19 25:54 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 (Play Offs)