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Club Friendly

Colwyn Bay

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Bala play Colwyn Bay in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Bala averaged 0.93 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. Colwyn Bay averaged 1.55 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. In past meetings, Bala won 4, Colwyn Bay won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 23, 2025 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Bala and 1.19 for Colwyn Bay. This points to a Colwyn Bay double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Bala

15%

Draws

54%

Colwyn Bay

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Colwyn Bay

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence

Bala picked up more points recently compared to Colwyn Bay.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 1.19 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 72%

Over 2.5 Goals 52%

Over 3.5 Goals 31%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%

Bala Clean Sheet 20%

Colwyn Bay Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 65%

Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Bala	Colwyn Bay
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	5	14
Draws	7	4
Losses	18	11
Goals Scored	0.93	1.55
Goals Conceded	1.67	1.21
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2025 Cymru Premier

Colwyn Bay vs Bala

Possession: 59% - 59% Cards: 1 - 1

0:1

Aug 22, 2025 Cymru Premier

Bala vs Colwyn Bay

Possession: 47% - 41% Cards: 1 - 1

1:0

Jul 5, 2024 Club Friendly

Colwyn Bay vs Bala

Possession: 55% - 59% Cards: 1 - 1

2:0

Dec 26, 2023 Cymru Premier

Colwyn Bay vs Bala

Possession: 46% - 58% Cards: 2 - 1

2:3

Oct 7, 2023 Cymru Premier

Bala vs Colwyn Bay

Possession: 50% - 60% Cards: 2 - 1

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bala Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Colwyn Bay Compare

Top Goalscorer Robles L.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Davies J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bala 32 / 100

Colwyn Bay 51 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Bala Colwyn Bay

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colwyn Bay Win (2)

Secondary Pick Colwyn Bay & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +34.8%

4.35

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.8%

2.17

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Bala attacking → ← attacking Colwyn Bay

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bala scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Colwyn Bay let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Bala went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Colwyn Bay lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

22 Points in last 5 46

1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.13

1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25