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Bala vs Colwyn Bay - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Robles L.
19' Event
Own Goal
21' Event
Robles L.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

Colwyn Bay in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Colwyn Bay.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Bala
15%
Draws
54%
Colwyn Bay
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Colwyn Bay

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Colwyn Bay lately — more wins on the board than Bala.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Colwyn Bay taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Bala Clean Sheet 10%
Colwyn Bay Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bala Colwyn Bay
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 11 15
Draws 6 5
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.52 1.58
Goals Conceded 1.58 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Club Friendly
Bala vs Colwyn Bay
0:4
Sep 23, 2025 Cymru Premier
Colwyn Bay vs Bala
0:1
Aug 22, 2025 Cymru Premier
Bala vs Colwyn Bay
1:0
Jul 5, 2024 Club Friendly
Colwyn Bay vs Bala
2:0
Dec 26, 2023 Cymru Premier
Colwyn Bay vs Bala
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bala Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Colwyn Bay Compare

Top Goalscorer Robles L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Davies J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bala 10 / 100
Colwyn Bay 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bala Colwyn Bay

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colwyn Bay Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bala scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Colwyn Bay conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Bala stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bala VS Colwyn Bay
2 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bala

(Home)
03 Oct
Caersws FC
3 : 3
Bala
26 Sept
Bala
2 : 4
Mold Alexandra
15 Sept
Penrhyncoch
0 : 1
Bala
11 Sept
Denbigh
5 : 2
Bala
05 Sept
Porthmadog
1 : 2
Bala
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Colwyn Bay

(Away)
03 Oct
Briton Ferry
1 : 0
Colwyn Bay
26 Sept
Colwyn Bay
1 : 0
Haverfordwest
18 Sept
Colwyn Bay
5 : 2
Barry Town
15 Sept
Holywell Town FC
0 : 5
Colwyn Bay
12 Sept
Colwyn Bay
2 : 1
Connahs Q.
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