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Bala vs Gresford

Wales Wales

Cymru North
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Lindfield C.
53' Event
Fisher C.
58' Event
Lewis I.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru North game between Bala and Gresford finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bala.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Bala
15%
Draws
34%
Gresford
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Bala carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Bala taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Bala have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Bala Clean Sheet 20%
Gresford Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bala Gresford
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 8
Draws 5 3
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 1.38 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.52 2.48
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Cymru North
Bala vs Gresford
3:0
Oct 18, 2022 League Cup
Bala vs Gresford
4:0
Aug 9, 2019 League Cup
Bala vs Gresford
7:0
Jul 15, 2016 Club Friendly
Gresford vs Bala
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bala Compare

Top Goalscorer Lindfield C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fisher C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Gresford Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bala 49 / 100
Gresford 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bala Gresford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bala Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Gresford conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Bala's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Difficult form: Gresford registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bala VS Gresford
1.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bala

(Home)
26 Sept
Bala
2 : 4
Mold Alexandra
15 Sept
Penrhyncoch
0 : 1
Bala
11 Sept
Denbigh
5 : 2
Bala
05 Sept
Porthmadog
1 : 2
Bala
31 Aug
Bala
0 : 1
Newtown
Page 1 of 6

Gresford

(Away)
26 Sept
Gresford
3 : 1
Rhyl
12 Sept
Guilsfield
1 : 1
Gresford
06 Sept
Gresford
1 : 5
Mold Alexandra
31 Aug
Llanuwchllyn
2 : 0
Gresford
21 Aug
Bala
3 : 0
Gresford
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brickfield Rangers 9 8 0 1 23:4 24
2 Mold Alexandra 9 6 2 1 23:11 20
3 Newtown 8 6 1 1 16:2 19
4 Bala 9 6 0 3 17:14 18
5 Porthmadog 9 5 2 2 16:11 17
6 Caersws FC 8 5 1 2 18:11 16
7 Bangor 1876 9 5 1 3 23:17 16
8 Guilsfield 9 3 4 2 15:12 13
9 Buckley 9 3 2 4 21:16 11
10 Llanuwchllyn 8 3 1 4 13:22 10
11 Rhyl 8 2 3 3 15:16 9
12 Denbigh 9 2 1 6 16:19 7
13 Ruthin Town 9 2 1 6 8:19 7
14 Holyhead 8 1 1 6 7:16 4
15 Gresford 8 1 1 6 5:21 4
16 Penrhyncoch 9 0 1 8 4:29 1
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)