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Bala vs Gresford

Wales Wales

Cymru North
Fri, Aug 21, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bala host Gresford in the Cymru North. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Bala at 1.1 goals for, 1.55 against; Gresford at 1.83 for, 2.43 against. Past meetings favor Bala slightly — 3-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 18, 2022, ending 4:0. Model xG sits at 1.88 vs 1.25, favoring Bala. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Bala
15%
Draws
0%
Gresford
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Gresford carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Bala taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Bala have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Bala Clean Sheet 19%
Gresford Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bala Gresford
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 6 3
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 1.1 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.55 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2022 League Cup
Bala vs Gresford
4:0
Aug 9, 2019 League Cup
Bala vs Gresford
7:0
Jul 15, 2016 Club Friendly
Gresford vs Bala
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bala 85 / 100
Gresford 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bala Gresford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Gresford conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 5.67 goals when they meet.

Gresford's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Bala scored in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bala VS Gresford
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bala

(Home)
07 Aug
Bala
2 : 1
Ruthin Town
31 Jul
Bangor 1876
1 : 2
Bala
27 Jun
Bala
0 : 4
Colwyn Bay
18 Apr
Bala
1 : 2
Briton Ferry
03 Apr
Llanelli
0 : 5
Bala
Page 1 of 7

Gresford

(Away)
08 Aug
Caersws FC
1 : 0
Gresford
02 Aug
Gresford
0 : 3
Newtown
18 Apr
Guilsfield
4 : 0
Gresford
11 Apr
Penrhyncoch
4 : 1
Gresford
07 Apr
Rhyl
1 : 0
Gresford
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Newtown 2 2 0 0 8:0 6
2 Brickfield Rangers 2 2 0 0 7:2 6
3 Porthmadog 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
4 Bala 2 2 0 0 4:2 6
5 Guilsfield 2 1 1 0 4:3 4
6 Caersws FC 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
7 Denbigh 2 1 0 1 5:4 3
8 Holyhead 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
9 Bangor 1876 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
10 Llanuwchllyn 2 1 0 1 3:6 3
11 Mold Alexandra 2 0 1 1 4:5 1
12 Rhyl 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
13 Ruthin Town 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
14 Buckley 2 0 0 2 3:6 0
15 Gresford 2 0 0 2 0:4 0
16 Penrhyncoch 2 0 0 2 1:8 0
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)