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Bala vs Llanelli

Wales Wales

Cymru Premier 2025/2026 Maes Tegid, Bala
Our Tip

Match Events

31'
Hopkins J.
57'
Sub
Gibbings B. In: Jenkins T.
Out: Gibbings B.
64'
Sub
McGiveron D. In: Evans C.
Out: McGiveron D.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru Premier 2025/2026 game between Bala and Llanelli finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Bala
15%
Draws
8%
Llanelli
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Bala carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Bala are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Bala here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Bala Clean Sheet 68%
Llanelli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bala Llanelli
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 2
Draws 5 5
Losses 15 23
Goals Scored 1.27 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.73
Expected Goals (xG) 2.81 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Cymru Premier
Llanelli vs Bala
0:5
Feb 27, 2026 Cymru Premier
Bala vs Llanelli
0:0
Oct 31, 2025 Cymru Premier
Bala vs Llanelli
1:0
Aug 30, 2025 Cymru Premier
Llanelli vs Bala
0:1
Dec 22, 2018 Cymru Premier
Llanelli vs Bala
1:7

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bala 95 / 100
Llanelli 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bala Llanelli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bala Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Llanelli let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Bala found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Bala remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bala VS Llanelli
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 4
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Bala

(Home)
15 Sept
Penrhyncoch
0 : 1
Bala
11 Sept
Denbigh
5 : 2
Bala
05 Sept
Porthmadog
1 : 2
Bala
31 Aug
Bala
0 : 1
Newtown
28 Aug
Rhyl
1 : 3
Bala
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Llanelli

(Away)
11 Sept
Caerau Ely
3 : 0
Llanelli
04 Sept
Llanelli
0 : 2
Treowen
31 Aug
Aberystwyth
4 : 0
Llanelli
28 Aug
Llanelli
2 : 2
Carmarthen Town
22 Aug
Cardiff Draconians
4 : 2
Llanelli
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Haverfordwest 32 14 6 12 48:43 48
8 Briton Ferry 32 12 9 11 46:47 45
9 Cardiff Metropolitan University 32 8 14 10 43:51 38
10 Flint Town 32 8 11 13 48:59 35
11 Bala 32 8 8 16 33:45 32
12 Llanelli 32 3 4 25 17:82 13
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)