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Bala vs Llanelli

Wales Wales

Cymru Premier 2025/2026 Maes Tegid, Bala
Our Tip

Match Events

31'
Hopkins J.
57'
Sub
Gibbings B. In: Jenkins T.
Out: Gibbings B.
64'
Sub
McGiveron D. In: Evans C.
Out: McGiveron D.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru Premier 2025/2026 game between Bala and Llanelli finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Bala
6%
Draws
4%
Llanelli
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Bala carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Bala are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Bala here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Bala Clean Sheet 68%
Llanelli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bala Llanelli
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 4
Draws 7 4
Losses 18 22
Goals Scored 1 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.63 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Cymru Premier
Llanelli vs Bala
0:5
Feb 27, 2026 Cymru Premier
Bala vs Llanelli
0:0
Oct 31, 2025 Cymru Premier
Bala vs Llanelli
1:0
Aug 30, 2025 Cymru Premier
Llanelli vs Bala
0:1
Dec 22, 2018 Cymru Premier
Llanelli vs Bala
1:7

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bala 95 / 100
Llanelli 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bala Llanelli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Llanelli let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Llanelli's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Bala found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Bala VS Llanelli
1 Goals Scored 0.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bala

(Home)
27 Jun
Bala
0 : 4
Colwyn Bay
18 Apr
Bala
1 : 2
Briton Ferry
03 Apr
Llanelli
0 : 5
Bala
28 Mar
Cardiff Metropolitan University
2 : 1
Bala
21 Mar
Bala
1 : 0
Haverfordwest
Page 1 of 6

Llanelli

(Away)
18 Apr
Haverfordwest
6 : 0
Llanelli
03 Apr
Llanelli
0 : 5
Bala
28 Mar
Flint Town
1 : 2
Llanelli
20 Mar
Llanelli
1 : 2
Cardiff Metropolitan University
13 Mar
Llanelli
0 : 2
Briton Ferry
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
7Haverfordwest321461248:4348
8Briton Ferry321291146:4745
9Cardiff Metropolitan University328141043:5138
10Flint Town328111348:5935
11Bala32881633:4532
12Llanelli32342517:8213
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)