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Bala vs Mold Alexandra - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru North
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Simmonds O.
30' Event
Hogan L.
51' Event
Fisher C.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru North game between Bala and Mold Alexandra finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mold Alexandra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Bala
20%
Draws
47%
Mold Alexandra
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mold Alexandra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Mold Alexandra carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Mold Alexandra's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Bala here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Bala Clean Sheet 10%
Mold Alexandra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bala Mold Alexandra
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 10 17
Draws 5 4
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.48 1.91
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Cymru North
Bala vs Mold Alexandra
2:4
Feb 17, 2009 Cymru Alliance
Bala vs Mold Alexandra
3:0
Nov 28, 2008 Cymru Alliance
Mold Alexandra vs Bala
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bala Compare

Top Goalscorer Simmonds O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fisher C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Mold Alexandra Compare

Top Goalscorer Hogan L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cartwright H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bala 10 / 100
Mold Alexandra 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bala Mold Alexandra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mold Alexandra Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mold Alexandra has conceded goals in 81% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.67 goals per match.

Bala's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Bala stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bala VS Mold Alexandra
1.88 Goals Scored 2.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Bala

(Home)
03 Oct
Caersws FC
3 : 3
Bala
26 Sept
Bala
2 : 4
Mold Alexandra
15 Sept
Penrhyncoch
0 : 1
Bala
11 Sept
Denbigh
5 : 2
Bala
05 Sept
Porthmadog
1 : 2
Bala
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Mold Alexandra

(Away)
03 Oct
Mold Alexandra
1 : 2
Newtown
26 Sept
Bala
2 : 4
Mold Alexandra
12 Sept
Mold Alexandra
2 : 2
Llanuwchllyn
06 Sept
Gresford
1 : 5
Mold Alexandra
31 Aug
Mold Alexandra
2 : 1
Bangor 1876
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brickfield Rangers 10 9 0 1 26:6 27
2 Newtown 9 7 1 1 18:3 22
3 Mold Alexandra 10 6 2 2 24:13 20
4 Porthmadog 10 6 2 2 17:11 20
5 Bala 10 6 1 3 20:17 19
6 Caersws FC 9 5 2 2 21:14 17
7 Bangor 1876 10 5 1 4 23:18 16
8 Guilsfield 10 4 4 2 16:12 16
9 Buckley 10 3 3 4 22:17 12
10 Llanuwchllyn 9 3 1 5 13:23 10
11 Rhyl 9 2 3 4 17:19 9
12 Ruthin Town 10 2 2 6 9:20 8
13 Denbigh 10 2 1 7 18:23 7
14 Holyhead 9 2 1 6 11:18 7
15 Gresford 9 2 1 6 6:21 7
16 Penrhyncoch 10 0 1 9 4:30 1
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