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Balatonalmadi vs Velence SE

Hungary Hungary

Hungarian Cup 2015/2016
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
61' Event
73' Event

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-5, with Velence SE advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Balatonalmadi
15%
Draws
57%
Velence SE
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Velence SE

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Balatonalmadi have managed 1.53 goals a game lately — Velence SE are scoring more at 2.55.
  • Model gives Velence SE a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Velence SE, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 58.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Balatonalmadi Clean Sheet 10%
Velence SE Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Balatonalmadi Velence SE
Matches Played 17 11
Wins 6 6
Draws 0 0
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.53 2.55
Goals Conceded 2.59 2.91
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2015 Hungarian Cup
Balatonalmadi vs Velence SE
0:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Balatonalmadi 10 / 100
Velence SE 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Balatonalmadi Velence SE

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Velence SE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Velence SE's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 11 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Balatonalmadi scored in 65% of their last 17 games.

Velence SE's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Balatonalmadi VS Velence SE
2.38 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Balatonalmadi

(Home)
05 Sept
Sopron
1 : 2
Balatonalmadi
30 Aug
Balatonalmadi
0 : 4
Tatabanya
26 Aug
Bicskei
4 : 2
Balatonalmadi
16 Aug
Balatonalmadi
0 : 2
Gyor II
12 Aug
Balatonalmadi
0 : 1
Mosonmagyarovari TE
Page 1 of 4

Velence SE

(Away)
21 Sept
Velence SE
1 : 3
Szeged-Csanad GA
14 Oct
Velence SE
1 : 2
Ujpest
23 Sept
Siklos
1 : 4
Velence SE
12 Aug
Balatonalmadi
0 : 5
Velence SE
09 Sept
Velence SE
1 : 2
Kaposvar
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Debrecen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tiszakecske -
TBD -
TBD -
Gederlak -
Ajka 2
Jaszberenyi 0
Hajduszoboszloi 1
Rakosmenti KSK 4
Gyulai Termal 2
Hodmezovasarhely 1
Monori 1
Szeged-Csanad GA 3
Soproni VSE 2
Tatabanya 0
Kazincbarcika 1
BKV Elore 3
Mateszalkai MTK 2
Babocsa 0
Bolcskei 2
Balmazujvaros Sport 4
Vasas 12
Hidasnemeti 0
Heviz 0
Szolnoki MAV 1
Vac 3
FC Dabas 0
Putnok VSE 0
Nyiregyhaza 2
Videoton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Diosdi TC 4
Salgotarjani BTC 1
TBD -
Andrashida -
Somos -
TBD -
Dudar 0
Ujbuda 2
Penzugyor SE 2
Lenti TE Sport 0
Nyul 1
Haladas 3
Csakvari 4
Ceredvolgye 0
Erdi 0
Tallya 2
Gyirmot FC Gyor 2
Tokol 1
Felsotarkany 2
Dorogi FC 3
Nagyecsed 4
REAC 3
Szerencsi 0
Asotthalmi TE 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ferencvaros -
Ujpest 14
Vertessomloi 1
Ivancsa 1
Celldomolki Vse 2
Siklos 4
Sarvari FC 3
Balatonalmadi 0
Velence SE 5
Dunaharaszti MTK 6
Somogyvar 2
Nadorvaros 0
Szekszardi 5
Bacsalmasi 5
Mosonmagyarovari TE 1
Bajai 0
Zalaegerszegi 5
Inter CDF SE -
TBD -
Szeol 0
Hajduboszormenyi 1
Budaorsi SC 4
Fuzesgyarmati 1
Viadukt SE Biatorbagy 2
III. Keruleti TVE 3
Paks 6
Maglodi TC 1
Dunaujvaros 0
Gyongyosi 1
Komloi 3
Szigetszentmiklos 2
ESMTK Budapest 1
Tiszaujvaros 4
Kozarmisleny SE 4
Siofok 2
Sarreti 0
Puskas Academy 5
Balatonfuredi -
TBD -
Csornai 0
DVTK 2
Soroksar 7
Sarisapi Banyasz 0
Szentlorinc SE 1
Cigand SE 3
Bonyhad 3
Hatvan FC 2
ETO Futsal 0
Honved 2
MTK Budapest -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vep VSE 2
Szoloskert Nagyrede 0
Szajol 2
Mezohegyesi 3
Kisvarda FC 12
Nagykata 0
Nagyatadi 0
Cegledi 8
Mezokovesd-Zsory 2
Veresegyhaz 0
Csepel 0
Bekescsaba 1912 1
1/32-finals
Debrecen -
TBD -
Tiszakecske 1
Gederlak 2
Ajka 3
Rakosmenti KSK 2
Gyulai Termal 1
Szeged-Csanad GA 2
Soproni VSE 3
BKV Elore 0
Mateszalkai MTK 0
Balmazujvaros Sport 5
Vasas 2
Szolnoki MAV 1
Vac 0
Nyiregyhaza 4
Videoton -
TBD -
Diosdi TC 2
Andrashida 4
Somos 1
Ujbuda 0
Penzugyor SE 1
Haladas 3
Csakvari 3
Tallya 0
Gyirmot FC Gyor 1
Dorogi FC 2
Nagyecsed 2
Asotthalmi TE 1
TBD -
Ferencvaros -
Ujpest 9
Celldomolki Vse 0
Siklos 1
Velence SE 4
Dunaharaszti MTK 3
Szekszardi 0
Bacsalmasi 3
Zalaegerszegi 5
Inter CDF SE 5
Hajduboszormenyi 1
Budaorsi SC 0
III. Keruleti TVE 2
Paks 2
Gyongyosi 0
Komloi 1
Tiszaujvaros 2
Kozarmisleny SE 2
Puskas Academy 0
Balatonfuredi 0
DVTK 7
Soroksar 4
Cigand SE 2
Bonyhad 0
Honved 2
MTK Budapest -
TBD -
Vep VSE 0
Mezohegyesi 2
Kisvarda FC 3
Cegledi 1
Mezokovesd-Zsory 0
Bekescsaba 1912 2
1/16-finals
Debrecen 3
Gederlak 0
Ajka 0
Szeged-Csanad GA 1
Soproni VSE 3
Balmazujvaros Sport 2
Vasas 1
Nyiregyhaza 2
Videoton 2
Andrashida 0
Somos 1
Haladas 3
Csakvari 3
Dorogi FC 1
Nagyecsed 0
Ferencvaros 10
Ujpest 2
Velence SE 1
Dunaharaszti MTK 0
Zalaegerszegi 1
Inter CDF SE 2
III. Keruleti TVE 1
Paks 3
Tiszaujvaros 4
Kozarmisleny SE 1
DVTK 0
Soroksar 3
Honved 5
MTK Budapest 6
Mezohegyesi 0
Kisvarda FC 1
Bekescsaba 1912 2
1/8-finals
Debrecen 3
Szeged-Csanad GA 0
Soproni VSE 1
Nyiregyhaza 4
Videoton 2
Haladas 1
Csakvari 5
Ferencvaros 7
Ujpest 6
Zalaegerszegi 1
Inter CDF SE 0
Tiszaujvaros 4
Kozarmisleny SE 4
Honved 2
MTK Budapest 0
Bekescsaba 1912 1
Quarter-finals
Debrecen 7
Nyiregyhaza 1
Videoton 2
Ferencvaros 2
Ujpest 10
Tiszaujvaros 1
Kozarmisleny SE 2
Bekescsaba 1912 3
Semi-finals
Debrecen 0
Ferencvaros 3
Ujpest 3
Bekescsaba 1912 1
Final
Ferencvaros 1
Ujpest 0