Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Balatonlelle vs Dombovari

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southwest 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Takacs-Foldes O.

AI Match Summary

The NB III - Southwest 2025/2026 game between Balatonlelle and Dombovari finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Balatonlelle.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Balatonlelle
15%
Draws
0%
Dombovari
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Balatonlelle

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Balatonlelle carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Balatonlelle a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Balatonlelle Clean Sheet 20%
Dombovari Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Balatonlelle Dombovari
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 1
Draws 6 2
Losses 18 27
Goals Scored 0.87 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.73 3.4
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 NB III - Southwest
Balatonlelle vs Dombovari
1:0
Oct 26, 2025 NB III - Southwest
Dombovari vs Balatonlelle
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Balatonlelle Compare

Top Goalscorer Takacs-Foldes O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Dombovari Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Balatonlelle 85 / 100
Dombovari 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Balatonlelle Dombovari

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Balatonlelle Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Dombovari conceded in 100% of 30 recent games.

Difficult form: Dombovari registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Balatonlelle found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Balatonlelle VS Dombovari
0.5 Goals Scored 0.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 3.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Balatonlelle

(Home)
24 May
Balatonlelle
1 : 3
Ivancsa
17 May
PTE-PEAC
1 : 1
Balatonlelle
10 May
Balatonlelle
1 : 0
Dombovari
02 May
Erdi
3 : 2
Balatonlelle
26 Apr
Balatonlelle
1 : 0
Paks II
Page 1 of 6

Dombovari

(Away)
24 May
Kaposvar
6 : 2
Dombovari
17 May
Dombovari
1 : 5
Siofok
10 May
Balatonlelle
1 : 0
Dombovari
03 May
Dombovari
0 : 8
Nagykanizsa FC
26 Apr
Ivancsa
3 : 0
Dombovari
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nagykanizsa FC 30 21 6 3 64:27 69
2 Pecsi MFC 30 20 7 3 71:25 67
3 Kaposvar 30 20 3 7 64:32 63
4 Ferencvaros II 30 17 4 9 63:43 55
5 Majosi 30 17 3 10 78:49 54
6 MTK Budapest II 30 16 4 10 62:33 52
7 Erdi 30 15 7 8 47:39 52
8 Dunaujvaros 30 13 10 7 58:42 49
9 Ivancsa 30 11 6 13 49:44 39
10 Siofok 30 11 5 14 40:55 38
11 Paks II 30 10 2 18 42:62 32
12 Szekszardi 30 9 4 17 43:75 31
13 PTE-PEAC 30 6 10 14 39:51 28
14 Balatonlelle 30 6 6 18 24:53 24
15 Penzugyor SE 30 4 8 18 31:61 20
16 Dombovari 30 0 3 27 22:106 3
Promotion - NB III - Promotion Play Offs (Main)