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Balcatta vs Armadale

Australia Australia

NPL Western Australia Grindleford Reserve, Perth
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Atta T.
22' Event
Atta T.
36' Event
Griffiths L.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The NPL Western Australia game between Balcatta and Armadale finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Balcatta
35%
Draws
37%
Armadale
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Armadale

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Balcatta come out ahead of Armadale on wins alone.
  • 28% — that's where the model lands on Balcatta taking it.
  • Regular NPL Western Australia form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Balcatta Clean Sheet 11%
Armadale Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Balcatta Armadale
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 6
Draws 6 8
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 1.37 1.72
Goals Conceded 2.2 2.62
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 NPL Western Australia
Balcatta vs Armadale
3:3
May 9, 2026 NPL Western Australia
Armadale vs Balcatta
5:0
Jul 5, 2025 NPL Western Australia
Balcatta vs Armadale
3:0
Apr 5, 2025 NPL Western Australia
Armadale vs Balcatta
2:1
Jan 25, 2025 Club Friendly
Armadale vs Balcatta
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Balcatta Compare

Top Goalscorer Atta T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ghinea D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Armadale Compare

Top Goalscorer Mathet A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mohamed A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Balcatta 47 / 100
Armadale 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Balcatta Armadale

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Balcatta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Armadale's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Balcatta's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Balcatta remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Balcatta VS Armadale
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Balcatta

(Home)
22 Aug
Balcatta
0 : 2
Dianella White Eagle
15 Aug
Western Knights
0 : 0
Balcatta
01 Aug
Balcatta
3 : 3
Armadale
25 Jul
Perth RedStar
0 : 0
Balcatta
18 Jul
Balcatta
2 : 0
Stirling Macedonia
Page 1 of 6

Armadale

(Away)
12 Sept
Armadale
1 : 1
Joondalup City
05 Sept
Joondalup City
1 : 2
Armadale
22 Aug
Armadale
0 : 4
Perth RedStar
15 Aug
Armadale
3 : 1
Dianella White Eagle
01 Aug
Balcatta
3 : 3
Armadale
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayswater 22 14 5 3 60:27 47
2 Olympic Kingsway 22 12 5 5 44:29 41
3 Perth RedStar 22 12 5 5 35:29 41
4 Perth Azzurri 22 10 8 4 53:41 38
5 Fremantle City 22 9 8 5 44:34 35
6 Stirling Macedonia 22 9 3 10 40:38 30
7 Western Knights 22 6 7 9 38:40 25
8 Sorrento 22 7 3 12 22:42 24
9 Dianella White Eagle 22 6 5 11 32:43 23
10 Perth Glory U23 22 5 6 11 41:45 21
11 Armadale 22 5 6 11 40:56 21
12 Balcatta 22 4 5 13 29:54 17
Promotion - NPL Western Australia (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL Western Australia (Relegation)
Relegation - WA State League 2027 (Main)