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Stadium Background

Baleares vs Andratx

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 Estadio Balear, Palma
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Tovar J.
21' Event
Taffertshofer U.
31' Event
Bover R.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 game between Baleares and Andratx finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Baleares.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Baleares
30%
Draws
37%
Andratx
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Andratx

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Baleares carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Baleares Clean Sheet 68%
Andratx Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baleares Andratx
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 17 5
Draws 7 9
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 1.79 1.04
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.84 1.04
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Baleares vs Andratx
5:1
Oct 12, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Andratx vs Baleares
1:0
Jul 30, 2025 Club Friendly
Baleares vs Andratx
2:1
Apr 19, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Andratx vs Baleares
2:2
Dec 8, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Baleares vs Andratx
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Baleares Compare

Top Goalscorer Tovar J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Taffertshofer U.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.92

Andratx Compare

Top Goalscorer Garrido A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baleares 41 / 100
Andratx 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baleares Andratx

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Baleares Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baleares's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Andratx's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Baleares has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Baleares VS Andratx
2.25 Goals Scored 1.57
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.43
63% Over 1.5 57%
50% Over 2.5 57%
38% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Baleares

(Home)
01 Aug
Baleares
4 : 1
Santanyi
25 Jul
Baleares
2 : 1
Mallorca B
31 May
Baleares
1 : 2
Jaen
24 May
Jaen
2 : 1
Baleares
17 May
Baleares
1 : 1
Coruxo FC
Page 1 of 6

Andratx

(Away)
03 May
Andratx
3 : 0
CE Atletic Lleida
26 Apr
SD Ibiza
2 : 2
Andratx
19 Apr
Andratx
0 : 0
Alcoyano
12 Apr
Baleares
5 : 1
Andratx
05 Apr
Andratx
5 : 3
Valencia B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sant Andreu 34 20 6 8 51:33 66
2 Baleares 34 19 9 6 53:34 66
3 UD Poblense 34 16 11 7 41:28 59
4 Reus FC Reddis 34 16 7 11 50:38 55
5 Alcoyano 34 13 16 5 30:20 55
6 Barcelona B 34 14 10 10 62:40 52
7 Girona B 34 12 11 11 45:37 47
8 Terrassa 34 11 13 10 36:44 46
9 Valencia B 34 10 14 10 53:50 44
10 Espanyol B 34 10 14 10 34:35 44
11 UD Barbastro 34 10 13 11 32:31 43
12 Olot 34 10 12 12 31:32 42
13 Castellon B 34 11 9 14 59:72 42
14 SD Ibiza 34 10 10 14 35:44 40
15 Andratx 34 8 9 17 35:56 33
16 CE Atletic Lleida 34 6 12 16 37:51 30
17 Torrent 34 7 9 18 36:53 30
18 Porreres 34 6 9 19 22:44 27
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)