Sport Picks

Spain

Copa del Rey 2025/2026 Estadio Balear, Palma

Baleares

2 - 0

Gimnastic de Tarragona

Our Tip

Match Events

Duran J.

Assist: Tovar J.

25'

Kaptoum W.

26'

Lopez I.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Baleares in this Copa del Rey 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%

Baleares

30%

Draws

41%

Gimnastic de Tarragona

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gimnastic de Tarragona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence

Baleares have won more games recently than Gimnastic de Tarragona.
Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
Baleares have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Baleares, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Baleares have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%

Baleares Clean Sheet 20%

Gimnastic de Tarragona Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Baleares	Gimnastic de Tarragona
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	16	7
Draws	6	7
Losses	6	15
Goals Scored	1.71	0.9
Goals Conceded	0.93	1.45
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 30, 2025 Copa del Rey

Baleares vs Gimnastic de Tarragona

2:0

Apr 23, 2023 Primera RFEF - Group 2

Baleares vs Gimnastic de Tarragona

2:1

Jan 8, 2023 Primera RFEF - Group 2

Gimnastic de Tarragona vs Baleares

1:3

Feb 20, 2022 Primera RFEF - Group 2

Baleares vs Gimnastic de Tarragona

1:1

Nov 28, 2021 Primera RFEF - Group 2

Gimnastic de Tarragona vs Baleares

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Baleares Compare

Top Goalscorer Duran J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Castell G.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

Gimnastic de Tarragona Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08

Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baleares 32 / 100

Gimnastic de Tarragona 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Baleares Gimnastic de Tarragona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baleares scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Gimnastic de Tarragona has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Baleares stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Baleares VS Gimnastic de Tarragona

1.75 Goals Scored 1.13

1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75

75% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 50%

50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Baleares

(Home)

27 Sept

Ciudad Cieza

1 : 1

Baleares

20 Sept

Baleares

1 : 4

UCAM Murcia

13 Sept

CF Intercity

2 : 2

Baleares

06 Sept

Yeclano

1 : 0

Baleares

30 Aug

Baleares

3 : 1

Porreres

Page 1 of 6

Gimnastic de Tarragona

(Away)

26 Sept

Gimnastic de Tarragona

1 : 2

Sant Andreu

20 Sept

Alcorcon

3 : 0

Gimnastic de Tarragona

11 Sept

Gimnastic de Tarragona

4 : 2

Algeciras

05 Sept

FC Cartagena SAD

0 : 0

Gimnastic de Tarragona

30 Aug

Gimnastic de Tarragona

2 : 0

Zaragoza

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Mutilvera -

TBD -

Zaragoza -

Atletico Tordesillas -

TBD -

Burgos CF -

Navalcarnero -

TBD -

AD Merida -

Inter de Valdemoro 4

Univ. Julio Suarez 2

TBD -

Getafe -

Atletico Astorga -

TBD -

Mirandes -

Caudal Deportivo -

TBD -

Gijon -

Puente Genil -

TBD -

FC Cartagena SAD -

Sporting Ceuta 1

Maracena 3

TBD -

Valencia -

CD Tropezon -

TBD -

Leonesa -

Valle Egues -

TBD -

FC Andorra -

Ciudad Cieza -

TBD -

Cordoba -

Orihuela -

TBD -

Levante -

Ourense CF -

TBD -

Real Oviedo -

Constancia -

TBD -

Girona -

TBD -

Ath Bilbao -

Portugalete -

TBD -

Valladolid -

Deportivo Getxo 2

Betis Valladolid 1

TBD -

Alaves -

CD Extremadura -

TBD -

Las Palmas -

Toledo -

TBD -

Sevilla -

RSD Alcala -

TBD -

Tenerife -

Roda -

TBD -

Granada CF -

Real Avila -

TBD -

Real Aviles -

Campanario 0

CD Yuncos 2

TBD -

Rayo Vallecano -

Jaen -

TBD -

Eldense -

Lorca Deportiva -

TBD -

Almeria -

Reus FC Reddis -

TBD -

CE Europa -

Textil Escudo 2

SD Negreira 5

TBD -

Real Sociedad -

Langreo -

TBD -

Racing Club Ferrol -

Utebo FC -

TBD -

Huesca -

Ebro -

TBD -

Tarazona -

CD Sant Jordi 4

CD Lourdes 1

TBD -

Osasuna -

CD Azuaga -

TBD -

Leganes -

UD San Fernando -

TBD -

Albacete -

Sant Andreu -

TBD -

Teruel -

Puerto de Vega 5

CCD Alberite 1

TBD -

Celta Vigo -

Rayo Majadahonda -

TBD -

CF Talavera -

CD Estepona -

TBD -

Malaga -

TBD -

Real Madrid -

UD Logrones -

TBD -

Ponferradina -

SD Logrones -

TBD -

Racing Santander -

Antoniano -

TBD -

Castellon -

Ciudad de Lucena -

TBD -

Villarreal -

Guadalajara -

TBD -

Cacereno -

La Union (Malacitano) -

TBD -

AD Ceuta -

TBD -

Barcelona -

Murcia -

TBD -

Antequera -

UCAM Murcia -

TBD -

Cadiz -

Torrent -

TBD -

Torremolinos -

Atletico Melilla 0

Atletico Palma del Rio 10

TBD -

Betis -

UD Ourense -

TBD -

Pontevedra -

Naxara -

TBD -

Eibar -

Quintanar del Rey -

TBD -

UD Ibiza -

Manises 2

UD Los Garres 4

TBD -

Elche -

UD Poblense -

TBD -

Sabadell -

UD Samano -

TBD -

Dep. A Coruna -

Numancia -

TBD -

Arenas Getxo -

Atletic Sant Just FC 7

Atletico Calatayud 1

TBD -

Mallorca -

Baleares -

TBD -

Gimnastic de Tarragona -

CE Atletic Lleida -

TBD -

Espanyol -

TBD -

Atl. Madrid -

1/64-finals

Mutilvera 1

Zaragoza 3

Atletico Tordesillas 1

Burgos CF 2

Navalcarnero 2

AD Merida 1

Inter de Valdemoro 0

Getafe 11

Atletico Astorga 1

Mirandes 2

Caudal Deportivo 0

Gijon 1

Puente Genil 0

FC Cartagena SAD 1

Maracena 0

Valencia 5

CD Tropezon 1

Leonesa 3

Valle Egues 1

FC Andorra 5

Ciudad Cieza 1

Cordoba 0

Orihuela 3

Levante 4

Ourense CF 4

Real Oviedo 2

Constancia 2

Girona 3

TBD -

Ath Bilbao -

Portugalete 1

Valladolid 0

Deportivo Getxo 0

Alaves 7

CD Extremadura 3

Las Palmas 1

Toledo 1

Sevilla 4

RSD Alcala 0

Tenerife 4

Roda 1

Granada CF 5

Real Avila 1

Real Aviles 0

CD Yuncos 1

Rayo Vallecano 6

Jaen 1

Eldense 3

Lorca Deportiva 0

Almeria 2

Reus FC Reddis 3

CE Europa 2

SD Negreira 0

Real Sociedad 3

Langreo 0

Racing Club Ferrol 1

Utebo FC 0

Huesca 3

Ebro 2

Tarazona 1

CD Sant Jordi 0

Osasuna 5

CD Azuaga 1

Leganes 4

UD San Fernando 0

Albacete 3

Sant Andreu 2

Teruel 1

Puerto de Vega 0

Celta Vigo 2

Rayo Majadahonda 1

CF Talavera 4

CD Estepona 1

Malaga 3

TBD -

Real Madrid -

UD Logrones 1

Ponferradina 3

SD Logrones 0

Racing Santander 4

Antoniano 1

Castellon 0

Ciudad de Lucena 0

Villarreal 6

Guadalajara 2

Cacereno 1

La Union (Malacitano) 0

AD Ceuta 2

TBD -

Barcelona -

Murcia 2

Antequera 1

UCAM Murcia 1

Cadiz 3

Torrent 3

Torremolinos 1

Atletico Palma del Rio 1

Betis 7

UD Ourense 1

Pontevedra 2

Naxara 2

Eibar 4

Quintanar del Rey 2

UD Ibiza 1

UD Los Garres 0

Elche 4

UD Poblense 1

Sabadell 2

UD Samano 1

Dep. A Coruna 5

Numancia 3

Arenas Getxo 0

Atletic Sant Just FC 0

Mallorca 2

Baleares 2

Gimnastic de Tarragona 0

CE Atletic Lleida 1

Espanyol 2

TBD -

Atl. Madrid -

1/32-finals

Zaragoza 0

Burgos CF 1

Navalcarnero 2

Getafe 3

Mirandes 0

Gijon 2

FC Cartagena SAD 1

Valencia 2

Leonesa 4

FC Andorra 2

Ciudad Cieza 0

Levante 1

Ourense CF 2

Girona 1

TBD -

Ath Bilbao -

Portugalete 0

Alaves 3

CD Extremadura 1

Sevilla 2

Tenerife 0

Granada CF 1

Real Avila 1

Rayo Vallecano 2

Eldense 2

Almeria 1

Reus FC Reddis 0

Real Sociedad 2

Racing Club Ferrol 0

Huesca 2

Ebro 3

Osasuna 5

Leganes 1

Albacete 2

Sant Andreu 1

Celta Vigo 2

CF Talavera 2

Malaga 1

TBD -

Real Madrid -

Ponferradina 1

Racing Santander 2

Antoniano 1

Villarreal 2

Guadalajara 1

AD Ceuta 0

TBD -

Barcelona -

Murcia 3

Cadiz 2

Torrent 1

Betis 4

Pontevedra 0

Eibar 3

Quintanar del Rey 1

Elche 2

Sabadell 0

Dep. A Coruna 2

Numancia 2

Mallorca 3

Baleares 1

Espanyol 0

TBD -

Atl. Madrid -

1/16-finals

Burgos CF 3

Getafe 1

Gijon 0

Valencia 2

Leonesa 1

Levante 0

Ourense CF 0

Ath Bilbao 1

Alaves 1

Sevilla 0

Granada CF 1

Rayo Vallecano 3

Eldense 1

Real Sociedad 2

Huesca 2

Osasuna 4

Albacete 3

Celta Vigo 2

CF Talavera 2

Real Madrid 3

Racing Santander 2

Villarreal 1

Guadalajara 0

Barcelona 2

Murcia 0

Betis 2

Eibar 0

Elche 1

Dep. A Coruna 1

Mallorca 0

Baleares 2

Atl. Madrid 3

1/8-finals

Burgos CF 0

Valencia 2

Leonesa 3

Ath Bilbao 4

Alaves 2

Rayo Vallecano 0

Real Sociedad 3

Osasuna 2

Albacete 3

Real Madrid 2

Racing Santander 0

Barcelona 2

Betis 2

Elche 1

Dep. A Coruna 0

Atl. Madrid 1

Quarter-finals

Albacete 1

Barcelona 2

Betis 0

Atl. Madrid 5

Valencia 1

Ath Bilbao 2

Alaves 2

Real Sociedad 3

Semi-finals

Barcelona 3

Atl. Madrid 4

Ath Bilbao 0

Real Sociedad 2

Final

Atl. Madrid 2

Real Sociedad 3

Baleares vs Gimnastic de Tarragona

Spain

Baleares

Gimnastic de Tarragona

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Baleares Compare

Gimnastic de Tarragona Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Baleares

Gimnastic de Tarragona

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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