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Baleares vs UD Poblense

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

79' Event
Andone F.
86' Event
Andone F.
(Penalty)
90' Event
Alomar L.

AI Match Summary

Baleares in this Segunda RFEF - Group 3 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Baleares.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Baleares
20%
Draws
30%
UD Poblense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Baleares

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Baleares lately — more wins on the board than UD Poblense.
  • 50% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Baleares Clean Sheet 68%
UD Poblense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baleares UD Poblense
Matches Played 33 28
Wins 18 11
Draws 8 7
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.58 0.96
Goals Conceded 0.91 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Baleares vs UD Poblense
2:1
Aug 14, 2026 Club Friendly
UD Poblense vs Baleares
1:0
Feb 22, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
UD Poblense vs Baleares
0:0
Nov 23, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Baleares vs UD Poblense
2:1
Aug 2, 2025 Club Friendly
Baleares vs UD Poblense
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Baleares Compare

Top Goalscorer Andone F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

UD Poblense Compare

Top Goalscorer Alomar L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baleares 41 / 100
UD Poblense 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baleares UD Poblense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Baleares Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baleares found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (33 games).

UD Poblense let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Baleares went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Baleares VS UD Poblense
2.25 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Baleares

(Home)
04 Oct
Baleares
2 : 1
UD Poblense
27 Sept
Ciudad Cieza
1 : 1
Baleares
20 Sept
Baleares
1 : 4
UCAM Murcia
13 Sept
CF Intercity
2 : 2
Baleares
06 Sept
Yeclano
1 : 0
Baleares
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UD Poblense

(Away)
04 Oct
Baleares
2 : 1
UD Poblense
27 Sept
UD Poblense
1 : 0
Valencia B
20 Sept
Alcoyano
2 : 0
UD Poblense
13 Sept
UD Poblense
1 : 2
Castellonense
06 Sept
La Nucia
1 : 0
UD Poblense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Castellon B 5 4 0 1 12:5 12
2 La Nucia 5 4 0 1 9:3 12
3 Castellonense 5 4 0 1 8:3 12
4 Alcoyano 5 3 1 1 6:4 10
5 UCAM Murcia 5 3 0 2 12:6 9
6 CF Intercity 5 2 3 0 7:5 9
7 Ciudad Cieza 5 2 2 1 7:3 8
8 Deportiva Minera 5 2 2 1 5:4 8
9 Yeclano 5 2 2 1 4:3 8
10 Orihuela 5 2 1 2 6:11 7
11 Lorca Deportiva 5 1 2 2 3:4 5
12 Mallorca B 5 1 2 2 2:4 5
13 Baleares 5 1 2 2 6:9 5
14 Valencia B 5 1 1 3 5:7 4
15 Ilicitano 5 1 1 3 3:8 4
16 UD Poblense 5 1 0 4 3:7 3
17 Real Murcia B 5 1 0 4 4:11 3
18 Pena Deportiva 5 0 1 4 3:8 1
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)