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Balga SC vs Subiaco

Australia Australia

WA State League Princess Road Reserve, Balga
Sat, Sep 12, 2026
3 - 4
07:00 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Bathgate B.
30' Event
62' Event
Petkov R.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-4. The second leg ended 3-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Balga SC
15%
Draws
45%
Subiaco
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Subiaco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Subiaco come out ahead of Balga SC on wins alone.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Subiaco taking it.
  • Subiaco arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Subiaco, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
  • History favors Subiaco here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 58.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Balga SC Clean Sheet 10%
Subiaco Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Balga SC Subiaco
Matches Played 8 35
Wins 3 10
Draws 1 5
Losses 4 20
Goals Scored 1.88 1.57
Goals Conceded 2.38 2.09
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.90
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 WA State League
Balga SC vs Subiaco
3:4
Sep 5, 2026 WA State League
Subiaco vs Balga SC
1:3
Feb 19, 2022 Club Friendly
Subiaco vs Balga SC
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Balga SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Gorong M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Subiaco Compare

Top Goalscorer Petkov R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bathgate B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.06

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Balga SC 26 / 100
Subiaco 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Balga SC Subiaco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Subiaco Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Balga SC found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (8 games).

Subiaco let in goals in 86% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 4.67 goals.

Balga SC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Balga SC VS Subiaco
3 Goals Scored 2.13
1.67 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
67% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Balga SC

(Home)
19 Sept
Rockingham City
0 : 3
Balga SC
12 Sept
Balga SC
3 : 4
Subiaco
05 Sept
Subiaco
1 : 3
Balga SC
19 Feb
Dianella White Eagle
1 : 2
Balga SC
19 Feb
Subiaco
3 : 0
Balga SC
Page 1 of 2

Subiaco

(Away)
12 Sept
Balga SC
3 : 4
Subiaco
05 Sept
Subiaco
1 : 3
Balga SC
22 Aug
Subiaco
2 : 0
Cockburn City
15 Aug
UWA Nedlands
0 : 2
Subiaco
08 Aug
Curtin University
2 : 2
Subiaco
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Subiaco 5
Balga SC 6
Rockingham City 2
Wembley Downs 1
Final
Balga SC 3
Rockingham City 0